Riding profile
Mirabel
The question
Mirabel: who wins this toss-up?
Editorial read
Mirabel, a suburban riding in Quebec, elected a member with the CAQ in the previous cycle, with a 33-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the PQ ahead at 35% vote share, against 33% for the CAQ, and the race could swing.
Sitting member
Sylvie D'Amours
Sits with CAQ
Who's running
The candidates
Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.
-
PLQ Challenger Daniela Rodriguez
source ↗
Current forecast
PQ
Toss-up
- Probability
- 65%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 4.1
- P(close race)
- 67%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| PQ | CAQ | PLQ | PCQ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereMirabel | 34.5% | 32.6% | 14.4% | 10.9% |
| Provincial averageQuebec | 30.1% +4.4 | 20.3% +12.3 | 27.2% −12.8 | 13.2% −2.2 |
Provincial averages computed across the 127 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Previous election · QC 2022
Detailed result · QC 2022
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sylvie D'Amours Elected | CAQ | 21,639 | 50.1 | — |
| Carole Savoie | PQ | 7,246 | 16.8 | — |
| Marjolaine Goudreau | QS | 6,222 | 14.4 | — |
| Gala Durand | PCQ | 4,936 | 11.4 | — |
| Isabella Giosi | PLQ | 2,918 | 6.8 | — |
| Pierre Larouche | Other | 159 | 0.4 | — |
| Rémi Lavoie | Other | 64 | 0.1 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
qc_2026