Riding profile
Argenteuil
The question
Argenteuil: will CAQ lose this seat to PQ?
Editorial read
Argenteuil, a mixed riding in Quebec, elected a member with the CAQ in the previous cycle, with a 29-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the PQ ahead at 35% vote share, against 23% for the CAQ, and the riding remains competitive.
Sitting member
Agnès Grondin
Sits with CAQ
Who's running
The candidates
Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.
-
PCQ Challenger 
Marie-France Lemay
Mother of two teenagers and engaged resident of the Argenteuil region, Marie-France Lemay holds a degree in human resources management and has nearly twenty years of experience in this field, both within the health network and in the public transit sector. Established in the region with her family through an autoconstruction project, she is deeply rooted in her community and acutely aware of the realities faced by families and citizens in the riding.
source ↗
Current forecast
PQ
Competitive
- Probability
- 95%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 10.1
- P(close race)
- 17%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| PQ | CAQ | PLQ | PCQ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereArgenteuil | 34.9% | 22.8% | 20.4% | 14.2% |
| Provincial averageQuebec | 30.1% +4.8 | 20.3% +2.5 | 27.2% −6.7 | 13.2% +1.0 |
Provincial averages computed across the 127 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Previous election · QC 2022
Detailed result · QC 2022
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Agnès Grondin Elected | CAQ | 14,725 | 45.1 | — |
| François Girard | PQ | 5,291 | 16.2 | — |
| Karim Elayoubi | PCQ | 4,807 | 14.7 | — |
| Marcel Lachaine | QS | 3,523 | 10.8 | — |
| Philippe LeBel | PLQ | 3,325 | 10.2 | — |
| Jean Lalonde | Other | 436 | 1.3 | — |
| Luis Alvarez | Other | 429 | 1.3 | — |
| Marie-Eve Milot | Other | 113 | 0.3 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
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- Last model run
- Cycle
qc_2026