Riding profile

Soulanges

Provincial riding — QC · Suburban · rest

The question

Soulanges: will CAQ lose this seat to PLQ?

Editorial read

Soulanges, a suburban riding in Quebec, elected a member with the CAQ in the previous cycle, with a 20-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Quebec Liberals ahead at 45% vote share, against 21% for the PQ, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

Marilyne Picard

Sits with CAQ

Since
2022-10-03
Parliament
43th

Who's running

The candidates

Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.

  • CAQ Incumbent
    Marilyne Picard

    Marilyne Picard

    Mother of a seriously ill child, Marilyne Picard founded Parents Until the End, a movement aimed at securing better financial support for families with severely disabled children before being elected as the Member of Parliament for Soulanges in 2018. She served as parliamentary assistant to Christian Dubé, Minister of Health and Social Services, and assisted him in implementing his vision.

    source ↗
  • PCQ Challenger
    Kristian Solarik

    Kristian Solarik

    A professional working in the fields of transportation, security and sales, Kristian has built a career based on a sense of responsibility, customer service and the search for concrete solutions. Involved in politics for several years, he now wishes to put his experience at the service of Soulanges citizens to represent their interests with seriousness, closeness and determination.

    source ↗
  • PLQ Challenger
    Olivier Bertin-Mahieux

    Olivier Bertin-Mahieux

    source ↗

Current forecast

PLQ

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
23.4
P(close race)
2%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • PLQ 44.8%
  • PQ 21.2%
  • CAQ 13.6%
  • PCQ 12.6%
  • QS 5.6%
  • Other 2.3%

In context

How this riding stacks up

PLQ PQ CAQ PCQ
HereSoulanges 44.8%21.2%13.6%12.6%
Provincial averageQuebec 27.2% +17.6 30.1% −8.9 20.3% −6.7 13.2% −0.6

Provincial averages computed across the 127 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Previous election · QC 2022

Won by
CAQ
Margin
20.3 pts
Turnout
67.3%
Margin shift vs current projection
+3.1 pts

Detailed result · QC 2022

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Marilyne Picard Elected CAQ 17,114 42.6 —
Catherine St-Amour PLQ 8,761 21.8 —
Éloïse Coulombe PCQ 5,006 12.5 —
Sophie Samson QS 4,353 10.8 —
Samuel Patenaude PQ 4,124 10.3 —
Kristian Solarik Other 795 2.0 —

Around the region

Nearby ridings

Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.

Last model run
Cycle
qc_2026