Riding profile
Soulanges
The question
Soulanges: who wins this toss-up?
Current forecast
QLP
Toss-up
- Probability
- 74%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 7.2
- P(close race)
- 43%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| QLP | CAQ | PQ | PCQ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereSoulanges | 31.2% | 26.0% | 19.1% | 16.8% |
| Provincial averageQuebec | 23.4% +7.8 | 21.3% +4.7 | 27.9% −8.8 | 16.1% +0.6 |
Provincial averages computed across the 127 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Editorial read
Soulanges, a suburban riding in Quebec, elected a member with the CAQ in the previous cycle, with a 20-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Quebec Liberals ahead at 31% vote share, against 26% for the CAQ, and the race could swing.
Sitting member
Marilyne Picard
Sits with CAQ
Who's running
The candidates
Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.
-
CAQ Incumbent
Marilyne Picard
Mother of a seriously ill child, Marilyne Picard founded Parents Until the End, a movement aimed at securing better financial support for families with severely disabled children before being elected as the Member of Parliament for Soulanges in 2018. She served as parliamentary assistant to Christian Dubé, Minister of Health and Social Services, and assisted him in implementing his vision.
source ↗ - Other Challenger
Joseph Cianflone
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PCQ Challenger
Kristian Solarik
A professional working in the fields of transportation, security and sales, Kristian has built a career based on a sense of responsibility, customer service and the search for concrete solutions. Involved in politics for several years, he now wishes to put his experience at the service of Soulanges citizens to represent their interests with seriousness, closeness and determination.
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PQ Challenger
Francis Deroo
Former mayor of Sainte-Anne-de-Bellevue, Francis Deroo's political involvement as the Soulanges candidate deepened his knowledge of citizens and regional organizations through respectful, trusting relationships. He is entering politics to help build an independent Quebec. He has always been a sovereigntist, voted yes in 1995, and believes the sovereignty project has room for francophones, anglophones, and allophones.
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QLP Challenger
Olivier Bertin-Mahieux
A dedicated leader and recognized motivator, Olivier Bertin-Mahieux has served as Executive Director of the Paul Gérin-Lajoie Foundation since 2021, where he has notably helped expand the reach of the renowned Dictée P.G.L. to adults in the workplace and immigrants undergoing French language training. Convinced that proficiency in French is a powerful driver of integration and a sense of belonging, he has always placed education and access to opportunities at the heart of his commitment. A graduate of McGill University with a degree in business and a master’s degree in political science from the University of Montreal, he has more than 25 years of experience in public affairs across a variety of sectors, including education, immigration, rail transportation, horticulture, and international cooperation. He has also held positions in the office of the Minister of International Relations and La Francophonie. Deeply committed to Quebec’s youth, Olivier Bertin-Mahieux has served on the boards of directors of the Office Québec-Monde pour la Jeunesse and the Office franco-québécois pour la jeunesse, among others, helping to open the doors of the Francophonie to younger generations. Deeply aware of the realities of a rapidly growing region, he aims to place education, access to services, and community development at the heart of his political commitment. Convinced of the importance of a people-centered and unifying policy, he intends to defend the interests of families, youth, and seniors in Soulanges with attentiveness, rigor, and determination.
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QS Challenger Florian Martin
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Previous election · 2022
Detailed result · QC 2022
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marilyne Picard Elected | CAQ | 17,114 | 42.6 | — |
| Catherine St-Amour | QLP | 8,761 | 21.8 | — |
| Éloïse Coulombe | PCQ | 5,006 | 12.5 | — |
| Sophie Samson | QS | 4,353 | 10.8 | — |
| Samuel Patenaude | PQ | 4,124 | 10.3 | — |
| Kristian Solarik | Other | 795 | 2.0 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
qc_2026