Riding profile

Beauharnois

Provincial riding — QC · Mixed · rest

The question

Beauharnois: will CAQ lose this seat to PQ?

Editorial read

Beauharnois, a mixed riding in Quebec, elected a member with the CAQ in the previous cycle, with a 36-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the PQ ahead at 38% vote share, against 31% for the CAQ, and the riding remains competitive.

Sitting member

Claude Reid

Sits with CAQ

Since
2022-10-03
Parliament
43th

Who's running

The candidates

Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.

  • CAQ Incumbent
    Claude Reid

    Claude Reid

    Since being elected as the Member of Parliament for Beauharnois, Claude Reid has leveraged his solid expertise in management and project coordination, fruits of his work experience and community involvement. Passionate about communications, he notably worked at Caisse Desjardins de Salaberry-de-Valleyfield, the Quebec Securities Commission, the Canadian Bankers Association, and was involved with Moisson-Sud-Ouest.

    source ↗

Current forecast

PQ

Competitive

Probability
92%
Mean margin (pts)
7.2
P(close race)
35%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • PQ 38.3%
  • CAQ 31.4%
  • PLQ 14.4%
  • PCQ 9.1%
  • QS 6.1%
  • Other 0.8%

In context

How this riding stacks up

PQ CAQ PLQ PCQ
HereBeauharnois 38.3%31.4%14.4%9.1%
Provincial averageQuebec 30.1% +8.2 20.3% +11.1 27.2% −12.8 13.2% −4.1

Provincial averages computed across the 127 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Previous election · QC 2022

Won by
CAQ
Margin
35.9 pts
Turnout
66.4%
Margin shift vs current projection
-28.7 pts

Detailed result · QC 2022

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Claude Reid Elected CAQ 17,882 53.8
Claudine Desforges PQ 5,640 17.0
Emilie Poirier QS 4,299 12.9
Chantal Dauphinais PCQ 3,112 9.4
Marc Blanchard PLQ 1,940 5.8
Hélène Savard Other 243 0.7
Mathieu Taillefer Other 136 0.4
Last model run
Cycle
qc_2026