Riding profile

Huntingdon

Provincial riding — QC · Suburban · rest

The question

Huntingdon: who wins this toss-up?

Editorial read

Huntingdon, a suburban riding in Quebec, elected a member with the CAQ in the previous cycle, with a 32-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Quebec Liberals ahead at 30% vote share, against 26% for the PQ, and the race could swing.

Sitting member

Carole Mallette

Sits with CAQ

Since
2022-10-03
Parliament
43th

Who's running

The candidates

Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.

  • PCQ Challenger
    Chantal Dauphinais

    Chantal Dauphinais

    Originally from Hemmingford and coming from an apple-growing family established in the region for several generations, Chantal Dauphinais is a mother of two children and grandmother of two grandchildren. Deeply rooted in her community, she knows well the realities faced by families, farmers, and entrepreneurs who contribute to the vitality of the region.

    source ↗

Current forecast

PLQ

Toss-up

Probability
67%
Mean margin (pts)
6.7
P(close race)
48%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • PLQ 30.3%
  • PQ 25.7%
  • CAQ 22.6%
  • PCQ 13.1%
  • QS 6.0%
  • Other 2.4%

In context

How this riding stacks up

PLQ PQ CAQ PCQ
HereHuntingdon 30.3%25.7%22.6%13.1%
Provincial averageQuebec 27.2% +3.1 30.1% −4.4 20.3% +2.3 13.2% −0.1

Provincial averages computed across the 127 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Previous election · QC 2022

Won by
CAQ
Margin
32.2 pts
Turnout
64.3%
Margin shift vs current projection
-25.6 pts

Detailed result · QC 2022

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Carole Mallette Elected CAQ 13,664 46.6
Jean-Claude Poissant PLQ 4,214 14.4
François Gagnon PCQ 3,923 13.4
Nathan Leblanc PQ 3,522 12.0
Emmanuelle Perras QS 3,265 11.2
José Bro Other 367 1.3
Raymond Frizzell Other 339 1.2
Last model run
Cycle
qc_2026