Riding profile
Champlain
The question
Champlain: a safe seat for the CAQ?
Current forecast
CAQ
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 6.4
- P(close race)
- 7%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| CAQ | PQ | PCQ | QLP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereChamplain | 32.2% | 25.8% | 21.8% | 14.0% |
| Provincial averageQuebec | 21.3% +10.9 | 27.9% −2.1 | 16.1% +5.6 | 23.4% −9.4 |
Provincial averages computed across the 127 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Editorial read
Champlain, a mixed riding in Quebec, elected a member with the CAQ in the previous cycle, with a 38-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the CAQ ahead at 32% vote share, against 26% for the PQ, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Sonia LeBel
Sits with CAQ
Who's running
The candidates
Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.
-
CAQ Challenger
Marie-Ève Myrand
Recognized for her strong ability to mobilize and move files forward, Marie-Ève Myrand stands out for her extensive experience in general management and her marked expertise in regional development. At the head of the Association des microbrasseries du Québec for a decade (2016-2026), she previously led the Fédération des coopératives de développement régional du Québec. Her professional background also includes experience in human resources and organizational development, as well as a stint as a research professional at the NSERC Chair for Women in Science and Engineering. Determined and attentive, she is committed to contributing to her community and is actively involved with various organizations. She sits on several boards of directors, including that of the Caisse Desjardins de l'Université Laval, where she served as chair for 12 years, as well as those of the Association québécoise de récupération des contenants de boissons and the Association des microbrasseries canadiennes. Marie-Ève Myrand holds two MBAs, one in management and the other in business administration. She also completed a bachelor's degree in psychology and a graduate microprogram in change management. Her career has earned her several distinctions, including the Prix reconnaissance Jeune dirigeant Desjardins and a place on the Honour Roll of the Faculty of Administration Sciences at Université Laval.
source ↗ - Other Challenger
Lionel Bonhomet
source ↗ - Other Challenger
Martine Ouellet
source ↗ -
PCQ Challenger
Adriana Szalontai
Originally from Romania, Adriana Szalontai studied political and legislative science in England and worked at the British Parliament before settling in Quebec. Drawing on her professional experience and her mandate as a municipal councillor, she wishes to put her expertise and engagement at the service of the citizens of Champlain. Adriana wishes to represent the citizens of Champlain with listening, proximity and pragmatism. She advocates for concrete solutions to support SMEs, reduce bureaucracy, improve access to healthcare, restore purchasing power to families and facilitate access to homeownership.
source ↗ -
PQ Challenger
René Branchaud
Counsel and practice head of the Business Law group at Lavery. During his career, he has advised numerous companies, which allowed him to develop a keen understanding of the Quebec entrepreneurial ecosystem.
source ↗ -
QLP Challenger
Annie Pronovost
Born in Saint-Tite, Annie Pronovost is a compassionate woman who tirelessly dedicates herself to serving others, balancing her work in the public health care system with her political activism. A woman with a hands-on approach, her willingness to make herself available is her hallmark. A nurse by profession, she first ran for city council in 2013. Finishing just four votes short of victory and determined to serve her community, she ran again in 2016 in a special election, where she was elected. The following year, driven by her desire to do even more for the residents of her municipality, she became the first woman in Saint-Tite’s history to be elected mayor. While working full-time as a night shift mental health nurse, she successfully balanced her professional responsibilities with her political duties for nearly eight years, demonstrating her deep dedication to her community. As mayor, she spearheaded several major initiatives for the region, including the drinking water treatment plant project, which remains her greatest source of pride. This experience gave her a firsthand understanding of the challenges associated with infrastructure and their impact on residents. Having gained valuable experience over the years, both in the healthcare sector and in local government, Annie Pronovost understands the realities of the regions and now hopes to represent the citizens of Champlain in the National Assembly.
source ↗ -
QS Challenger Katherine Heckersbruch
source ↗
Previous election · 2022
Detailed result · QC 2022
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sonia LeBel Elected | CAQ | 23,513 | 55.9 | — |
| Steve Massicotte | PCQ | 7,383 | 17.6 | — |
| Alexandre Litalien | PQ | 5,065 | 12.0 | — |
| Marjolaine Trottier | QS | 3,775 | 9.0 | — |
| Jérémy Leblanc | QLP | 2,138 | 5.1 | — |
| Bianca Nancy Pinel | Other | 194 | 0.5 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
qc_2026