Riding profile
Nicolet-Bécancour
The question
Nicolet-Bécancour: who wins this toss-up?
Current forecast
PQ
Toss-up
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 3.8
- P(close race)
- 91%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| PQ | CAQ | PCQ | QLP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereNicolet-Bécancour | 30.2% | 26.1% | 25.9% | 12.4% |
| Provincial averageQuebec | 27.9% +2.3 | 21.3% +4.8 | 16.1% +9.7 | 23.4% −11.0 |
Provincial averages computed across the 127 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Editorial read
Nicolet-Bécancour, a mixed riding in Quebec, elected a member with the CAQ in the previous cycle, with a 25-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the PQ ahead at 30% vote share, against 26% for the CAQ, and the race could swing.
Sitting member
Donald Martel
Sits with CAQ
Who's running
The candidates
Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.
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CAQ Incumbent
Donald Martel
Donald Martel was CEO and secretary-treasurer of the Nicolet-Yamaska MRC, as well as CEO of the CLD since 1994, before being elected as Member of Parliament for Nicolet-Bécancour in 2012, 2014, and 2018. Holding a Bachelor's degree in Business Administration, he served as President of the Association of General Managers of Quebec MRCs from 1999 to 2003.
source ↗ - Other Challenger
Christian Collard
source ↗ - Other Challenger
Marc-Olivier Billette
source ↗ - Other Challenger
Steve Lauzier
source ↗ -
PCQ Challenger
Dr Guillaume Langlois
Dr Guillaume Langlois is a family physician and has been practicing for over 20 years with the citizens of Nicolet–Bécancour. With extensive experience in primary care medicine, emergency, public health and community care, he is recognized for his commitment to improving access to care, particularly in regions. Spokesperson for the Parti conservateur du Québec on Social Services, he wishes to put his expertise at the service of citizens and contribute to pragmatic reform of the health network. Dr Langlois wishes to represent the citizens of Nicolet–Bécancour with proximity, rigour and determination. He defends concrete solutions to improve access to care and services, support families, seniors, community organizations, SMEs and the agricultural sector, develop infrastructure and tourism, and ensure sustainable and prosperous development of the region.
source ↗ -
PQ Challenger
Jérôme Gagnon
Jérôme Gagnon is a graduate of the École nationale d'administration publique and currently serves as coordinator for economic and tourism development in the City of Nicolet. Rooted in the region for over thirty years, he is involved with several community organizations and notably served as president of the Fondation jeunesse de la DPJ Mauricie et Centre-du-Québec.
source ↗ -
QLP Challenger
Sophie Martinbeault
A teacher, agricultural entrepreneur, and former municipal official, Sophie Martinbeault is deeply committed to her community. Driven by a passion for sustainable development, education, and the vitality of her community, she puts her expertise to work for the residents of Nicolet-Bécancour. A graduate of the Nicolet School of Agriculture, Sophie has been teaching in vocational education since 2018. She is currently working toward a bachelor’s degree in vocational education and considers education to be an essential pillar of progress, both technologically and on a human level. As a co-owner of an organic vegetable farm, she has developed solid expertise in sustainable agriculture, management, and local development. Over the years, she has traveled throughout the Nicolet-Bécancour riding to meet with numerous producers, workers, and entrepreneurs. These interactions have given her a concrete understanding of the realities of the region while reinforcing her belief that regional vitality depends on making the most of our resources and ensuring better access to healthy, locally produced food. From 2021 to 2024, Sophie was a municipal councillor in Saint-Wenceslas, and also served as deputy mayor. This experience enabled her to gain a concrete understanding of municipal challenges, particularly in the areas of citizen services, infrastructure and regional economic development. Sophie Martinbeault, the Liberal candidate in Nicolet-Bécancour, is now making the leap to the provincial stage, determined to actively contribute to her region’s prosperity and to Quebec’s vitality.
source ↗
Previous election · 2022
Detailed result · QC 2022
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donald Martel Elected | CAQ | 13,956 | 47.0 | — |
| Mario Lyonnais | PCQ | 6,595 | 22.2 | — |
| Philippe Dumas | PQ | 5,095 | 17.2 | — |
| Jacques Thériault Watso | QS | 2,610 | 8.8 | — |
| Marie-Josée Jacques | QLP | 1,406 | 4.7 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
qc_2026