Riding profile
Drummond–Bois-Francs
The question
Drummond–Bois-Francs: who wins this toss-up?
Current forecast
CAQ
Toss-up
- Probability
- 60%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 0.8
- P(close race)
- 100%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| CAQ | PQ | PCQ | QLP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereDrummond–Bois-Francs | 29.6% | 29.4% | 21.6% | 11.8% |
| Provincial averageQuebec | 21.3% +8.3 | 27.9% +1.5 | 16.1% +5.5 | 23.4% −11.6 |
Provincial averages computed across the 127 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Editorial read
Drummond–Bois-Francs, a mixed riding in Quebec, elected a member with the CAQ in the previous cycle, with a 34-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the CAQ ahead at 30% vote share, against 29% for the PQ, and the race could swing.
Sitting member
Sébastien Schneeberger
Sits with CAQ
Who's running
The candidates
Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.
- CAQ Incumbent
Sébastien Schneeberger
First elected as MNA in 2007, Sébastien Schneeberger was re-elected in 2012, 2014 and 2018 for Drummond-Bois-Francs. Graduate of the Nicolet Agricultural School in dairy production, he first worked in the management of a dairy farm, then as a financial advisor.
source ↗ - Other Challenger
Sylvain Audet
source ↗ -
PCQ Challenger 
Myriam Cournoyer
Entrepreneur and project manager, Myriam built her career with determination, both here and abroad. Through her experiences in Toronto, Vancouver and England, she developed an open-minded vision of the world and a concrete understanding of the challenges faced by citizens and families.
source ↗ -
PQ Challenger 
Charles Page
Charles Page holds a bachelor's degree in business administration from the Université du Québec à Trois-Rivières and a vocational diploma in carpentry-joinery from École Paul-Rousseau in Drummondville. He is a professional mountaineer, real-estate entrepreneur, professional athlete for outdoor company Rab, and ambassador for Hooké. He held several positions at SOPREMA from 2014 to 2024. A philanthropist, he has helped raise more than $200,000 for Fondation Enfant Soleil since 2023 and is official ambassador for Fondation Sainte-Croix/Hériot's Grands défis pour la vie. He wants a new hospital centre, support for SMEs, vocational training, innovation, and strong entrepreneurial succession.
source ↗ -
QLP Challenger Colin Hendry
source ↗ -
QS Challenger Lila Houde
source ↗
Previous election · 2022
Detailed result · QC 2022
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sébastien Schneeberger Elected | CAQ | 18,747 | 51.6 | — |
| Myriam Cournoyer | PCQ | 6,314 | 17.4 | — |
| Emrick Couture-Picard | PQ | 5,462 | 15.1 | — |
| Tony Martel | QS | 3,866 | 10.7 | — |
| Pierre Poirier | QLP | 1,455 | 4.0 | — |
| Marco Beauchesne | Other | 367 | 1.0 | — |
| Steve Therion | Other | 91 | 0.3 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
qc_2026