Riding profile

Drummond–Bois-Francs

Provincial riding — QC · Mixed · rest

The question

Drummond–Bois-Francs: who wins this toss-up?

Editorial read

Drummond–Bois-Francs, a mixed riding in Quebec, elected a member with the CAQ in the previous cycle, with a 34-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the CAQ ahead at 35% vote share, against 32% for the PQ, and the race could swing.

Sitting member

Sébastien Schneeberger

Sits with CAQ

Since
2022-10-03
Parliament
43th

Who's running

The candidates

Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.

  • CAQ Incumbent
    Sébastien Schneeberger

    Sébastien Schneeberger

    First elected as MNA in 2007, Sébastien Schneeberger was re-elected in 2012, 2014 and 2018 for Drummond-Bois-Francs. Graduate of the Nicolet Agricultural School in dairy production, he first worked in the management of a dairy farm, then as a financial advisor.

    source ↗
  • PCQ Challenger
    Myriam Cournoyer

    Myriam Cournoyer

    Entrepreneur and project manager, Myriam built her career with determination, both here and abroad. Through her experiences in Toronto, Vancouver and England, she developed an open-minded vision of the world and a concrete understanding of the challenges faced by citizens and families.

    source ↗

Current forecast

CAQ

Toss-up

Probability
99%
Mean margin (pts)
2.7
P(close race)
98%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • CAQ 34.8%
  • PQ 32.1%
  • PCQ 17.8%
  • PLQ 10.1%
  • QS 4.6%
  • Other 0.6%

In context

How this riding stacks up

CAQ PQ PCQ PLQ
HereDrummond–Bois-Francs 34.8%32.1%17.8%10.1%
Provincial averageQuebec 20.3% +14.5 30.1% +2.0 13.2% +4.6 27.2% −17.0

Provincial averages computed across the 127 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Previous election · QC 2022

Won by
CAQ
Margin
34.1 pts
Turnout
69.7%
Margin shift vs current projection
-31.4 pts

Detailed result · QC 2022

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Sébastien Schneeberger Elected CAQ 18,747 51.6 —
Myriam Cournoyer PCQ 6,314 17.4 —
Emrick Couture-Picard PQ 5,462 15.1 —
Tony Martel QS 3,866 10.7 —
Pierre Poirier PLQ 1,455 4.0 —
Marco Beauchesne Other 367 1.0 —
Steve Therion Other 91 0.3 —

Around the region

Nearby ridings

Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.

Last model run
Cycle
qc_2026