Riding profile

Sherbrooke

Provincial riding — QC · Mixed · rest

The question

Sherbrooke: will QS lose this seat to PQ?

Editorial read

Sherbrooke, a mixed riding in Quebec, elected a member with Québec solidaire in the previous cycle, with a 7-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the PQ ahead at 33% vote share, against 24% for Québec solidaire, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

Christine Labrie

Sits with QS

Since
2022-10-03
Parliament
43th

Who's running

The candidates

Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.

  • CAQ Challenger
    Fadéla Hamou

    Fadéla Hamou

    A professional with assertive leadership, Fadéla Hamou has extensive experience in collaborative work, governance, and board support. Deeply engaged in her community, she held several management positions at organizations dedicated to enhancing the community's presence.

    source ↗
  • PLQ Challenger
    Pierre Cossette

    Pierre Cossette

    source ↗

Current forecast

PQ

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
9.0
P(close race)
6%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • PQ 32.9%
  • QS 23.9%
  • PLQ 20.2%
  • CAQ 14.9%
  • PCQ 7.1%
  • Other 1.0%

In context

How this riding stacks up

PQ QS PLQ CAQ
HereSherbrooke 32.9%23.9%20.2%14.9%
Provincial averageQuebec 30.1% +2.8 8.3% +15.6 27.2% −6.9 20.3% −5.4

Provincial averages computed across the 127 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Previous election · QC 2022

Won by
QS
Margin
6.7 pts
Turnout
70.8%
Margin shift vs current projection
+2.3 pts

Detailed result · QC 2022

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Christine Labrie Elected QS 15,548 41.9
Caroline St-Hilaire CAQ 13,076 35.3
Yves Bérubé-Lauzière PQ 3,373 9.1
Zoée St-Amand PCQ 2,501 6.7
François Vaes PLQ 2,166 5.8
Victoria Karny Other 204 0.6
Raphaëlle Dompierre Other 113 0.3
Alain Barbier Other 69 0.2
Alexandre Asselin Other 48 0.1
Last model run
Cycle
qc_2026