Riding profile
Richmond
The question
Richmond: who wins this toss-up?
Editorial read
Richmond, a mixed riding in Quebec, elected a member with the CAQ in the previous cycle, with a 26-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the PQ ahead at 29% vote share, against 24% for the CAQ, and the race could swing.
Sitting member
André Bachand
Sits with CAQ
Who's running
The candidates
Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.
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CAQ Challenger 
Guillaume Rousseau
A renowned lawyer and professor at the Faculty of Law of the University of Sherbrooke, where he also served as vice-dean and program director, Guillaume Rousseau has contributed to public debates and reflections on the future of Quebec for several years. Holder of a doctorate in law obtained through a joint degree between Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne University and Laval University, he also holds a master's degree in comparative law from McGill University, with a specialization in human rights and cultural diversity, and graduated with a bachelor's degree in law from the University of Sherbrooke.
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PCQ Challenger 
Dominic Bouffard
Construction entrepreneur for over 23 years and with more than 30 years of experience in the field, Dominic has built his career on hard work, rigor, and a sense of responsibility. His journey allowed him to develop concrete knowledge of the realities faced by workers, families, and entrepreneurs.
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PLQ Challenger 
Hugo Fontaine
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PQ Challenger 
Bernard Sévigny
Former mayor of Sherbrooke for eight years, Bernard also served as president of the Union des municipalités du Québec from 2016 to 2017. Our candidate is driven by public service and is passionate about local and regional development.
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Current forecast
PQ
Toss-up
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 5.4
- P(close race)
- 39%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| PQ | CAQ | PLQ | PCQ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereRichmond | 29.5% | 24.0% | 18.4% | 15.3% |
| Provincial averageQuebec | 30.1% −0.6 | 20.3% +3.8 | 27.2% −8.7 | 13.2% +2.1 |
Provincial averages computed across the 127 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Previous election · QC 2022
Detailed result · QC 2022
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| André Bachand Elected | CAQ | 21,255 | 46.8 | — |
| Philippe Pagé | QS | 9,031 | 19.9 | — |
| Marylaine Bélair | PCQ | 6,683 | 14.7 | — |
| Jacinthe Caron | PQ | 5,803 | 12.8 | — |
| Mona Louis-Jean | PLQ | 2,476 | 5.5 | — |
| Richard Magnan | Other | 112 | 0.3 | — |
| Raymond de Martin | Other | 105 | 0.2 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
qc_2026