Riding profile

Trois-Rivières

Provincial riding — QC · Mixed · rest

The question

Trois-Rivières: who wins this toss-up?

Editorial read

Trois-Rivières, a mixed riding in Quebec, elected a member with the CAQ in the previous cycle, with a 34-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the CAQ ahead at 35% vote share, against 34% for the PQ, and the race could swing.

Sitting member

Jean Boulet

Sits with CAQ

Since
2022-10-03
Parliament
43th

Who's running

The candidates

Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.

  • CAQ Challenger
    Christine Fréchette

    Christine Fréchette

    Christine Fréchette is the second woman to hold the office of Premier of Quebec. She places the cost of living, innovation, energy transition, and economic development at the heart of her actions, while also promoting Quebec's international profile and strengthening its autonomy.

    source ↗
  • PLQ Challenger

    Valérie Renaud-Martin

    source ↗

Current forecast

CAQ

Toss-up

Probability
89%
Mean margin (pts)
1.3
P(close race)
100%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • CAQ 35.2%
  • PQ 34.0%
  • PLQ 11.9%
  • PCQ 11.7%
  • QS 6.8%

In context

How this riding stacks up

CAQ PQ PLQ PCQ
HereTrois-Rivières 35.2%34.0%11.9%11.7%
Provincial averageQuebec 20.3% +14.9 30.1% +3.9 27.2% −15.3 13.2% −1.5

Provincial averages computed across the 127 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Previous election · QC 2022

Won by
CAQ
Margin
34.5 pts
Turnout
68.7%
Margin shift vs current projection
-33.1 pts

Detailed result · QC 2022

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Jean Boulet Elected CAQ 18,859 50.8 —
Steven Roy Cullen QS 6,069 16.4 —
Laurent Vézina PQ 5,323 14.3 —
Karine Pépin PCQ 4,552 12.3 —
Adams Tekougoum PLQ 2,056 5.5 —
Éric Trottier Other 148 0.4 —
Georges Samman Other 108 0.3 —

Around the region

Nearby ridings

Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.

Last model run
Cycle
qc_2026