Riding profile
Trois-Rivières
The question
Trois-Rivières: who wins this toss-up?
Current forecast
CAQ
Toss-up
- Probability
- 74%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 4.8
- P(close race)
- 58%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| CAQ | PQ | PCQ | QLP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereTrois-Rivières | 32.5% | 29.5% | 15.0% | 12.6% |
| Provincial averageQuebec | 21.3% +11.2 | 27.9% +1.6 | 16.1% −1.1 | 23.4% −10.8 |
Provincial averages computed across the 127 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Editorial read
Trois-Rivières, a mixed riding in Quebec, elected a member with the CAQ in the previous cycle, with a 34-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the CAQ ahead at 33% vote share, against 29% for the PQ, and the race could swing.
Sitting member
Jean Boulet
Sits with CAQ
Who's running
The candidates
Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.
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CAQ Challenger
Christine Fréchette
Christine Fréchette is the second woman to hold the office of Premier of Quebec. She places the cost of living, innovation, energy transition, and economic development at the heart of her actions, while also promoting Quebec's international profile and strengthening its autonomy.
source ↗ - Other Challenger
Béatrice Lafontaine
source ↗ - Other Challenger
Nancy Nadon
source ↗ -
PCQ Challenger
Jonathan Couturier
Originally from the Gaspésie, Jonathan Couturier studied economics at Université Laval before founding the Mariana Distillery. Today a self-employed electromechanics technician and volunteer firefighter, he puts to good use his entrepreneurial background and field experience in the service of the citizens of Trois-Rivières. Jonathan wishes to represent the citizens with proximity, pragmatism and determination. He defends concrete solutions to improve the purchasing power of families, facilitate access to health care, reduce bureaucratic burden and foster an environment conducive to workers, entrepreneurs and economic prosperity.
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PQ Challenger
Jean Pellerin
With a bachelor's degree in administration (finance) from the Université du Québec à Trois-Rivières and a securities-trading course, Jean Pellerin is regional director of a brokerage agency for southeastern Quebec and Mauricie. He has more than 40 years of business-management experience and has been deeply involved in Trois-Rivières and Mauricie. He chaired the Trois-Rivières Chamber of Commerce and Industry in 2020–2021 and was named male personality of the year at the 2023 Gala Radisson. He also chairs Moisson Mauricie/Centre-du-Québec and Centre du Havre and is vice-chair of the Fondation Santé Trois-Rivières. He wants government to trust businesses, public-service workers, and regional actors.
source ↗ -
QLP Challenger
Valérie Renaud-Martin
Valérie Renaud-Martin is a communications professional, radio host, and former municipal official. A lifelong resident of Trois-Rivières, she is deeply rooted in the Mauricie region, where she is known for her authenticity, her thoroughness, and her in-depth knowledge of the region’s priorities. A graduate in communications from the Université du Québec à Trois-Rivières, she has more than twenty years of experience in the fields of media, education, politics, the environment, and sports. Throughout her career, she has distinguished herself through her ability to explain complex issues in accessible terms, bring citizens together, and build bridges between decision-makers and the public. Elected to the City Council of Trois-Rivières in 2017, she has held several strategic positions, including chair of the Public Works and Engineering Committee and vice-chair of the Land Use Planning Committee. She has also served on several boards of directors, including that of the Régie du bâtiment du Québec, where she represented Quebec’s cities and municipalities for three years. As the host of a public affairs program on 106.9 Mauricie until very recently, she engaged daily with citizens, experts, and decision-makers from all walks of life. This experience has allowed her to develop a deep understanding of regional issues as well as a solid reputation for being a good listener, an astute analyst, and someone who is close to the community. Today, Valérie Renaud-Martin is committed to defending the interests of the citizens of Trois-Rivières with strength and determination and to representing the Mauricie region in the National Assembly.
source ↗ -
QS Challenger
Steven Roy-Cullen
A well-known figure among the people of Trois-Rivières, Steven has devoted his life to building a more just and supportive society. As assistant director of Comité de solidarité / Trois-Rivières and president of the Groupement pour la défense des droits sociaux de Trois-Rivières, he works to weave bonds of solidarity here and elsewhere so that everyone can live with dignity. Aware of the need to change Quebec's political culture, he now wishes to bring his daily struggle to the National Assembly.
source ↗
Previous election · 2022
Detailed result · QC 2022
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jean Boulet Elected | CAQ | 18,859 | 50.8 | — |
| Steven Roy Cullen | QS | 6,069 | 16.4 | — |
| Laurent Vézina | PQ | 5,323 | 14.3 | — |
| Karine Pépin | PCQ | 4,552 | 12.3 | — |
| Adams Tekougoum | QLP | 2,056 | 5.5 | — |
| Éric Trottier | Other | 148 | 0.4 | — |
| Georges Samman | Other | 108 | 0.3 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
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- Last model run
- Cycle
qc_2026