Riding profile
Maskinongé
The question
Maskinongé: who wins this toss-up?
Current forecast
CAQ
Toss-up
- Probability
- 80%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 1.0
- P(close race)
- 100%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| CAQ | PQ | PCQ | QLP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereMaskinongé | 29.9% | 29.1% | 20.1% | 13.8% |
| Provincial averageQuebec | 21.3% +8.6 | 27.9% +1.2 | 16.1% +4.0 | 23.4% −9.6 |
Provincial averages computed across the 127 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Editorial read
Maskinongé, a mixed riding in Quebec, elected a member with the CAQ in the previous cycle, with a 37-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the CAQ ahead at 30% vote share, against 29% for the PQ, and the race could swing.
Sitting member
Simon Allaire
Sits with CAQ
Who's running
The candidates
Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.
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CAQ Incumbent
Simon Allaire
Simon Allaire was elected MNA for Maskinongé in 2018, then appointed parliamentary assistant to the President of the Treasury Board. Engaged for 20 years in the economic development of the region, he notably served as senior director at Desjardins Entreprises and as general manager of the Centre local de développement (CLD) of the MRC de Maskinongé. He holds a bachelor's degree in economics from UQTR.
source ↗ - Other Challenger
Claude Ladouceur
source ↗ - Other Challenger
Gilles Brodeur
source ↗ -
PCQ Challenger
Marc-André Cloutier
Originally from the region and father of two young boys, Marc-André is a former technician on the CF-18s of the Canadian Armed Forces. After studying aeronautics at Cégep Édouard-Montpetit and five years of military service, he returned to his native region, where he is now an entrepreneur. His career has given him a solid understanding of the realities faced by families and entrepreneurs in Maskinongé. Marc-André wants to represent the citizens of Maskinongé with discipline, proximity, and determination. He advocates concrete solutions to reduce the tax and regulatory burden, improve access to healthcare, facilitate access to homeownership, and promote the economic development of the region. He believes that responsible management of the State is essential to Quebec's prosperity.
source ↗ -
PQ Challenger
Isabelle Blais
Isabelle Blais is part of this new generation of artists who are not afraid to commit themselves to their convictions. Actress and singer-songwriter, she has appeared in more than thirty films and series, including STAT, C.A., Trauma, among others.
source ↗ -
QLP Challenger
Nancy Mignault
Engaged in her community for several years, Nancy Mignault has chosen to make the leap into provincial politics under the Liberal banner. For more than 24 years, Ms. Mignault served as executive director of Technoscience Mauricie, Centre-du-Québec, Lanaudière and Laurentides. This organization's mission is to develop young people's interest in science across the province. Among other things, she promoted awareness of the scientific world among young girls, enabling them to see that it is possible to work in this field. This interest in developing the next generation of Quebecers has characterized Ms. Mignault's commitment over all these years. Nancy Mignault's political involvement began at the municipal level, as a councillor for the municipality of Saint-Étienne-des-Grès from 2017 to 2021, then as mayor from 2017 to 2021. She ultimately announced that she would not seek a second term for the last municipal elections, last fall. As first magistrate, she notably worked to better secure residential neighbourhoods near school zones and to bring to completion a long-awaited "skate park" project among young people. She also advanced several structuring files, including those of the route des Pins, the aerated ponds and the drinking water supply, while managing major situations such as the impacts of Storm Debbie and the closure of Highway 55 in both directions. With several years of experience in politics and education, Nancy Mignault is very sensitive to the importance of the decisions we make for the future of our young people. Her talents as a mobilizer with various actors in the school, economic and political worlds will make a difference. An ideal candidate to serve the voters of Maskinongé, she embodies the type of leadership the constituency needs. × I commit to voting for Nancy Mignault as member for the constituency of Maskinongé
source ↗ -
QS Challenger Simon Piotte
source ↗
Previous election · 2022
Detailed result · QC 2022
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Simon Allaire Elected | CAQ | 17,096 | 53.5 | — |
| Serge Noël | PCQ | 5,131 | 16.1 | — |
| Dominique Gélinas | PQ | 4,519 | 14.1 | — |
| Simon Piotte | QS | 3,162 | 9.9 | — |
| Alexandra Malenfant-Veilleux | QLP | 1,619 | 5.1 | — |
| Daniel Simon | Other | 227 | 0.7 | — |
| Françoise Boisvert | Other | 90 | 0.3 | — |
| Alain Bélanger | Other | 69 | 0.2 | — |
| Gilles Brodeur | Other | 40 | 0.1 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
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- Last model run
- Cycle
qc_2026