Riding profile
Maskinongé
The question
Maskinongé: who wins this toss-up?
Editorial read
Maskinongé, a mixed riding in Quebec, elected a member with the CAQ in the previous cycle, with a 37-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the CAQ ahead at 34% vote share, against 32% for the PQ, and the race could swing.
Sitting member
Simon Allaire
Sits with CAQ
Who's running
The candidates
Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.
-
PCQ Challenger 
Marc-André Cloutier
From the region and father of two young boys, Marc-André is a man who deeply believes in the importance of building a better future for his family and community. After studying aeronautics at Cégep Édouard-Montpetit, he chose to serve his country within the Canadian Armed Forces, where he worked for five years as a technician on CF-18s.
source ↗ -
PLQ Challenger 
Nancy Mignault
source ↗ -
PQ Challenger 
Isabelle Blais
Isabelle Blais is part of this new generation of artists who are not afraid to commit themselves to their convictions. Actress and singer-songwriter, she has appeared in more than thirty films and series, including STAT, C.A., Trauma, among others.
source ↗
Current forecast
CAQ
Toss-up
- Probability
- 97%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 2.0
- P(close race)
- 100%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| CAQ | PQ | PCQ | PLQ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereMaskinongé | 34.4% | 32.4% | 16.3% | 11.7% |
| Provincial averageQuebec | 20.3% +14.2 | 30.1% +2.4 | 13.2% +3.1 | 27.2% −15.5 |
Provincial averages computed across the 127 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Previous election · QC 2022
Detailed result · QC 2022
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Simon Allaire Elected | CAQ | 17,096 | 53.5 | — |
| Serge Noël | PCQ | 5,131 | 16.1 | — |
| Dominique Gélinas | PQ | 4,519 | 14.1 | — |
| Simon Piotte | QS | 3,162 | 9.9 | — |
| Alexandra Malenfant-Veilleux | PLQ | 1,619 | 5.1 | — |
| Daniel Simon | Other | 227 | 0.7 | — |
| Françoise Boisvert | Other | 90 | 0.3 | — |
| Alain Bélanger | Other | 69 | 0.2 | — |
| Gilles Brodeur | Other | 40 | 0.1 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
qc_2026