Riding profile
L'Assomption
The question
L'Assomption: who wins this toss-up?
Editorial read
L'Assomption, a mixed riding in Quebec, elected a member with the CAQ in the previous cycle, with a 42-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the PQ ahead at 37% vote share, against 35% for the CAQ, and the race could swing. This riding is composed of fragments of the former L'Assomption (100 %) and Berthier (24 %).
Sitting member
François Legault
Sits with CAQ
Who's running
The candidates
Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.
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PCQ Challenger 
Patrick Lemieux
Physicist engineer and doctor in materials science, Patrick has a career marked by rigor, intellectual curiosity and the search for concrete solutions. His experience in industry and innovation allowed him to work at the heart of projects that require both a long-term vision and the ability to turn ideas into tangible results.
source ↗
Current forecast
PQ
Toss-up
- Probability
- 66%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 4.5
- P(close race)
- 63%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| PQ | CAQ | PLQ | PCQ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereL'Assomption | 37.1% | 35.0% | 13.0% | 8.1% |
| Provincial averageQuebec | 30.1% +7.0 | 20.3% +14.7 | 27.2% −14.2 | 13.2% −5.1 |
Provincial averages computed across the 127 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Previous election · QC 2022
Detailed result · QC 2022
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| François Legault Elected | CAQ | 18,637 | 58.6 | — |
| Martin Lefebvre | QS | 4,553 | 14.3 | — |
| Catherine Provost | PQ | 4,370 | 13.8 | — |
| Ernesto Almeida | PCQ | 2,424 | 7.6 | — |
| Thomas Ano-Dumas | PLQ | 1,806 | 5.7 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
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- Last model run
- Cycle
qc_2026