Riding profile

Joliette

Provincial riding — QC · Mixed · rest

The question

Joliette: will CAQ lose this seat to PQ?

Editorial read

Joliette, a mixed riding in Quebec, elected a member with the CAQ in the previous cycle, with a 14-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the PQ ahead at 54% vote share, against 24% for the CAQ, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

François St-Louis

Sits with CAQ

Since
2022-10-03
Parliament
43th

Who's running

The candidates

Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.

  • PCQ Challenger
    Rémi Lafrenière

    Rémi Lafrenière

    Plumber, father of a family, teacher and speaker, Rémi is above all a man on the ground who knows the reality of workers and families. His diverse career has brought him into contact with people from all walks of life and developed an approach based on listening, pragmatism and common sense.

    source ↗
  • PQ Challenger
    Véronique Venne

    Véronique Venne

    Mayor of Sainte-Marie-Salomé in Lanaudière for thirteen years, she is also an English as a Second Language teacher at two high schools in the region. Véronique is a woman who loves to take on challenges when it comes to defending the interests of her fellow citizens.

    source ↗

Current forecast

PQ

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
30.2
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • PQ 54.1%
  • CAQ 23.8%
  • PCQ 8.0%
  • PLQ 7.7%
  • QS 5.1%
  • Other 1.2%

In context

How this riding stacks up

PQ CAQ PCQ PLQ
HereJoliette 54.1%23.8%8.0%7.7%
Provincial averageQuebec 30.1% +24.1 20.3% +3.6 13.2% −5.2 27.2% −19.5

Provincial averages computed across the 127 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Previous election · QC 2022

Won by
CAQ
Margin
14.3 pts
Turnout
69.8%
Margin shift vs current projection
+15.9 pts

Detailed result · QC 2022

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
François St-Louis Elected CAQ 17,925 45.6 —
Véronique Venne PQ 12,281 31.2 —
Flavie Trudel QS 4,476 11.4 —
Pascal Laurin PCQ 3,470 8.8 —
Diana Mélissa Crispin PLQ 1,178 3.0 —

Around the region

Nearby ridings

Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.

Last model run
Cycle
qc_2026