Riding profile
Verchères
The question
Verchères: will CAQ lose this seat to PQ?
Editorial read
Verchères, a suburban riding in Quebec, elected a member with the CAQ in the previous cycle, with a 31-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the PQ ahead at 43% vote share, against 30% for the CAQ, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Suzanne Roy
Sits with CAQ
Current forecast
PQ
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 13.5
- P(close race)
- 4%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| PQ | CAQ | PLQ | QS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereVerchères | 43.1% | 29.5% | 12.2% | 7.9% |
| Provincial averageQuebec | 30.1% +13.0 | 20.3% +9.2 | 27.2% −15.0 | 8.3% −0.4 |
Provincial averages computed across the 127 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Previous election · QC 2022
Detailed result · QC 2022
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Suzanne Roy Elected | CAQ | 23,672 | 51.3 | — |
| Cédric Gagnon-Ducharme | PQ | 9,561 | 20.7 | — |
| Manon Harvey | QS | 6,665 | 14.4 | — |
| Pascal Déry | PCQ | 3,269 | 7.1 | — |
| Gabriel Lévesque | PLQ | 2,438 | 5.3 | — |
| Nadim Saikali | Other | 318 | 0.7 | — |
| Germain Dallaire | Other | 97 | 0.2 | — |
| Lucien Beauregard | Other | 86 | 0.2 | — |
| Pauline Boisvert | Other | 55 | 0.1 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
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- Last model run
- Cycle
qc_2026