Riding profile
Repentigny
The question
Repentigny: who wins this toss-up?
Current forecast
PQ
Toss-up
- Probability
- 66%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 4.3
- P(close race)
- 65%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| PQ | CAQ | QLP | PCQ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereRepentigny | 32.3% | 29.9% | 19.3% | 10.2% |
| Provincial averageQuebec | 27.9% +4.4 | 21.3% +8.6 | 23.4% −4.1 | 16.1% −6.0 |
Provincial averages computed across the 127 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Editorial read
Repentigny, a suburban riding in Quebec, elected a member with the CAQ in the previous cycle, with a 35-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the PQ ahead at 32% vote share, against 30% for the CAQ, and the race could swing.
Sitting member
Pascale Déry
Sits with CAQ
Who's running
The candidates
Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.
-
CAQ Incumbent 
Pascale Déry
Known to the Quebec public for her 15 years of service with TVA and LCN networks, Pascale has repeatedly demonstrated that she possesses leadership and creativity. This high-level professional has big plans for Repentigny riding and wishes to contribute to improving the quality of life for citizens in the county.
source ↗ -
PCQ Challenger 
Vincent Côté
Vincent Côté is a real-estate and urban-planning professional who has devoted his career to project development and land-use planning. His municipal experience, including as director of an urban-planning department, followed by work as a project designer and acquisitions manager at Groupe Sierra, gave him a practical understanding of housing and community-development issues. Vincent wishes to put his expertise at the service of Repentigny residents to facilitate access to homeownership and stimulate housing construction. He advocates concrete solutions to reduce regulatory obstacles, increase the housing supply and create a more favourable environment for economic development and Quebec families’ projects.
source ↗ - PQ Challenger
Nicolas Girard
Nicolas Girard holds a bachelor's degree in political science from Université de Montréal and completed master's coursework in industrial relations. He was press secretary to Quebec ministers from 1998 to 2003 and represented Gouin in the National Assembly from 2004 to 2012. Director general of Réseau de transport de la Capitale since 2022, he previously led the Agence métropolitaine de transport (2012–2015) and worked for Société de transport de Laval (2016–2022). He wants public transit to adequately serve Montreal's North Shore.
source ↗ -
QLP Challenger 
Yvena Luc
A clinical nurse, Yvena Luc has worked in CHSLDs, hospitals and CLSCs. A member of the Quebec nursing order since 2019, she studied at Cégep Édouard-Montpetit and in wound care at Sherbrooke. Active in the PLQ for more than six years and in Haitian nurses’ organizations, she wants to serve Repentigny families. × I commit to voting for Yvena Luc as member for Repentigny
source ↗ -
QS Challenger 
Martin Lefebvre
source ↗
Previous election · 2022
Detailed result · QC 2022
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pascale Déry Elected | CAQ | 19,747 | 52.4 | — |
| Aïcha Van Dun | PQ | 6,686 | 17.7 | — |
| Ednal Marc | QS | 4,783 | 12.7 | — |
| Virginie Bouchard | QLP | 3,758 | 10.0 | — |
| Serge Cloutier | PCQ | 2,419 | 6.4 | — |
| David Brisebois | Other | 321 | 0.8 | — |
Around the region
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- Last model run
- Cycle
qc_2026