Riding profile

Repentigny

Provincial riding — QC · Suburban · rest

The question

Repentigny: who wins this toss-up?

Editorial read

Repentigny, a suburban riding in Quebec, elected a member with the CAQ in the previous cycle, with a 35-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the PQ ahead at 35% vote share, against 33% for the CAQ, and the race could swing.

Sitting member

Pascale Déry

Sits with CAQ

Since
2022-10-03
Parliament
43th

Who's running

The candidates

Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.

  • CAQ Incumbent
    Pascale Déry

    Pascale Déry

    Known to the Quebec public for her 15 years of service with TVA and LCN networks, Pascale has repeatedly demonstrated that she possesses leadership and creativity. This high-level professional has big plans for Repentigny riding and wishes to contribute to improving the quality of life for citizens in the county.

    source ↗

Current forecast

PQ

Toss-up

Probability
70%
Mean margin (pts)
4.3
P(close race)
64%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • PQ 35.4%
  • CAQ 32.8%
  • PLQ 18.4%
  • QS 6.6%
  • PCQ 6.1%
  • Other 0.7%

In context

How this riding stacks up

PQ CAQ PLQ QS
HereRepentigny 35.4%32.8%18.4%6.6%
Provincial averageQuebec 30.1% +5.3 20.3% +12.5 27.2% −8.7 8.3% −1.7

Provincial averages computed across the 127 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Previous election · QC 2022

Won by
CAQ
Margin
35.0 pts
Turnout
73.2%
Margin shift vs current projection
-30.6 pts

Detailed result · QC 2022

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Pascale Déry Elected CAQ 19,747 52.4
Aïcha Van Dun PQ 6,686 17.7
Ednal Marc QS 4,783 12.7
Virginie Bouchard PLQ 3,758 10.0
Serge Cloutier PCQ 2,419 6.4
David Brisebois Other 321 0.8
Last model run
Cycle
qc_2026