Riding profile
Richelieu
The question
Richelieu: will CAQ lose this seat to PQ?
Editorial read
Richelieu, a mixed riding in Quebec, elected a member with the CAQ in the previous cycle, with a 35-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the PQ ahead at 42% vote share, against 34% for the CAQ, and the riding remains competitive.
Sitting member
Jean-Bernard Émond
Sits with CAQ
Who's running
The candidates
Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.
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CAQ Incumbent 
Jean-Bernard Émond
Jean-Bernard Émond is a founding member of the CAQ. This talented entrepreneur, with a degree in pedagogy, worked as a vocational teacher for 5 years and was also owner and partner of an architectural signage firm from 1999 to 2011.
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PQ Challenger 
Jocelyn Desjardins
Former journalist and announcer for Radio-Canada and L'Actualité médicale, Jocelyn served as communications officer at the Syndicat des Métallos for fifteen years. Close to people, our candidate has already begun meeting with citizens in his riding who have shared their concerns about the economy.
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Current forecast
PQ
Competitive
- Probability
- 93%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 7.6
- P(close race)
- 31%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| PQ | CAQ | PLQ | PCQ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereRichelieu | 41.7% | 34.4% | 10.3% | 8.1% |
| Provincial averageQuebec | 30.1% +11.6 | 20.3% +14.1 | 27.2% −16.9 | 13.2% −5.0 |
Provincial averages computed across the 127 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Previous election · QC 2022
Detailed result · QC 2022
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jean-Bernard Émond Elected | CAQ | 17,098 | 55.9 | — |
| Gabriel Arpin | PQ | 6,204 | 20.3 | — |
| David Dionne | QS | 3,084 | 10.1 | — |
| Marie-Ève Dionne | PCQ | 2,697 | 8.8 | — |
| Anthony Sauriol | PLQ | 1,262 | 4.1 | — |
| Alejandra Velasquez | Other | 165 | 0.5 | — |
| André Blanchette | Other | 82 | 0.3 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
qc_2026