Riding profile
Saint-Hyacinthe
The question
Saint-Hyacinthe: who wins this toss-up?
Editorial read
Saint-Hyacinthe, a mixed riding in Quebec, elected a member with the CAQ in the previous cycle, with a 37-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the PQ ahead at 37% vote share, against 36% for the CAQ, and the race could swing.
Sitting member
Chantal Soucy
Sits with CAQ
Who's running
The candidates
Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.
-
PLQ Challenger Mariliz Turla-Vadnais
source ↗
Current forecast
PQ
Toss-up
- Probability
- 61%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 4.0
- P(close race)
- 68%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| PQ | CAQ | PLQ | PCQ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereSaint-Hyacinthe | 37.4% | 36.1% | 10.3% | 9.2% |
| Provincial averageQuebec | 30.1% +7.4 | 20.3% +15.9 | 27.2% −16.9 | 13.2% −3.9 |
Provincial averages computed across the 127 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Previous election · QC 2022
Detailed result · QC 2022
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chantal Soucy Elected | CAQ | 22,487 | 54.4 | — |
| Alexis Gagné-Lebrun | PQ | 6,900 | 16.7 | — |
| Philippe Daigneault | QS | 5,636 | 13.6 | — |
| Kim Beaudoin | PCQ | 4,066 | 9.8 | — |
| Agnieszka Wnorowska | PLQ | 1,705 | 4.1 | — |
| Mustapha Jaalouk | Other | 217 | 0.5 | — |
| Julie Raiche | Other | 168 | 0.4 | — |
| Gary Daigneault | Other | 142 | 0.3 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
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- Last model run
- Cycle
qc_2026