Riding profile
Brome-Missisquoi
The question
Brome-Missisquoi: will CAQ lose this seat to PLQ?
Editorial read
Brome-Missisquoi, a mixed riding in Quebec, elected a member with the CAQ in the previous cycle, with a 30-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Quebec Liberals ahead at 36% vote share, against 25% for the PQ, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Isabelle Charest
Sits with CAQ
Who's running
The candidates
Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.
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CAQ Challenger 
Manuela Goya
Born in Romania, Manuela Goya made Quebec her home. Driven by a deep attachment to the French language and the richness of Quebec's cultural identity, it is here that she gave meaning to her personal and professional journey.
source ↗ -
PCQ Challenger 
David Alarie
From the region, David is a father of four children who knows well the realities and challenges faced by local families. His career is marked by values of hard work, responsibility, and commitment to his community.
source ↗ -
PLQ Challenger 
Frédéric Beauchemin
Deputy Parliamentary Leader of the Official Opposition and Member of Marguerite-Bourgeoys
source ↗
Current forecast
PLQ
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 10.9
- P(close race)
- 4%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| PLQ | PQ | CAQ | PCQ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereBrome-Missisquoi | 36.1% | 25.2% | 16.3% | 11.2% |
| Provincial averageQuebec | 27.2% +8.9 | 30.1% −4.8 | 20.3% −4.0 | 13.2% −1.9 |
Provincial averages computed across the 127 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Previous election · QC 2022
Detailed result · QC 2022
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isabelle Charest Elected | CAQ | 20,576 | 45.9 | — |
| Alexandre Legault | QS | 7,138 | 15.9 | — |
| Guillaume Paquet | PQ | 5,359 | 11.9 | — |
| Claude Vadeboncoeur | PLQ | 5,344 | 11.9 | — |
| Stéphanie Prévost | PCQ | 4,875 | 10.9 | — |
| Lynn Moore | Other | 642 | 1.4 | — |
| Caitlin Moynan | Other | 487 | 1.1 | — |
| Sébastien Houle | Other | 209 | 0.5 | — |
| Tommy Quirion-Bouchard | Other | 121 | 0.3 | — |
| Pierre Fontaine | Other | 105 | 0.2 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
qc_2026