Riding profile
Brome-Missisquoi
The question
Brome-Missisquoi: who wins this toss-up?
Current forecast
CAQ
Toss-up
- Probability
- 77%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 1.8
- P(close race)
- 98%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| CAQ | PQ | QLP | PCQ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereBrome-Missisquoi | 27.4% | 26.1% | 21.1% | 15.6% |
| Provincial averageQuebec | 21.3% +6.2 | 27.9% −1.8 | 23.4% −2.3 | 16.1% −0.6 |
Provincial averages computed across the 127 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Editorial read
Brome-Missisquoi, a mixed riding in Quebec, elected a member with the CAQ in the previous cycle, with a 30-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the CAQ ahead at 27% vote share, against 26% for the PQ, and the race could swing.
Sitting member
Isabelle Charest
Sits with CAQ
Who's running
The candidates
Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.
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CAQ Challenger
Manuela Goya
Born in Romania, Manuela Goya made Quebec her home. Driven by a deep attachment to the French language and the richness of Quebec's cultural identity, it is here that she gave meaning to her personal and professional journey.
source ↗ - Other Challenger
Michelle Julien
source ↗ -
PCQ Challenger
David Alarie
From the region, David is a father of four children who knows well the realities and challenges faced by local families. His career is marked by values of hard work, responsibility, and commitment to his community.
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PQ Challenger
Patrick Melchior
Patrick has a long record in municipal politics: mayor of the City of Farnham since 2017, he was, from 2019 to 2025, the youngest prefect of the MRC de Brome-Missisquoi. His understanding of his region's realities and of the various levels of municipal governance is a valuable asset for the Parti Québécois team. A committed sovereigntist for many years, Patrick is convinced that the Parti Québécois is the best vehicle for governing Quebec with vision and ambition. "I am entering this race above all to serve the citizens of Brome-Missisquoi, to whom I have always felt close. I have been mayor of Farnham since 2017. It is a position I love. I feel extremely privileged to have earned my fellow citizens' confidence in the last three municipal elections. As prefect of the MRC from 2019 to 2025, I grasped the crucial issues affecting our region: police coverage, health, sustainable mobility, homelessness, agricultural realities, the housing crisis and the route of Hydro-Québec's future power line, to name only these matters. I am convinced I can make the concerns of the people of Brome-Missisquoi heard in Quebec City, with a firm determination to improve their quality of life."
source ↗ -
QLP Challenger
Frédéric Beauchemin
Deputy Parliamentary Leader of the Official Opposition and Member of Marguerite-Bourgeoys
source ↗ -
QS Challenger
Michelle Corcos
Michelle Corcos wants to represent Québec solidaire in Brome-Missisquoi, drawing on the experience, determination, and values that have guided her commitment for more than 20 years. Trained in hotel management, marketing, and traditional Chinese medicine, she is an acupuncturist, a board member of the Ordre des acupuncteurs du Québec, and a longtime activist for climate justice and participatory democracy. Her background gives her an understanding of economic realities as well as health issues and the challenges specific to Eastern Townships communities. She wants to represent Brome-Missisquoi residents in the National Assembly and defend a greener, more democratic, and more solidaristic Quebec.
source ↗
Previous election · 2022
Detailed result · QC 2022
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isabelle Charest Elected | CAQ | 20,576 | 45.9 | — |
| Alexandre Legault | QS | 7,138 | 15.9 | — |
| Guillaume Paquet | PQ | 5,359 | 11.9 | — |
| Claude Vadeboncoeur | QLP | 5,344 | 11.9 | — |
| Stéphanie Prévost | PCQ | 4,875 | 10.9 | — |
| Lynn Moore | Other | 642 | 1.4 | — |
| Caitlin Moynan | Other | 487 | 1.1 | — |
| Sébastien Houle | Other | 209 | 0.5 | — |
| Tommy Quirion-Bouchard | Other | 121 | 0.3 | — |
| Pierre Fontaine | Other | 105 | 0.2 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
qc_2026