Riding profile
Mégantic
The question
Mégantic: who wins this toss-up?
Current forecast
PQ
Toss-up
- Probability
- 78%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 1.7
- P(close race)
- 99%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| PQ | PCQ | CAQ | QLP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereMégantic | 27.3% | 25.3% | 25.1% | 13.9% |
| Provincial averageQuebec | 27.9% −0.6 | 16.1% +9.2 | 21.3% +3.8 | 23.4% −9.5 |
Provincial averages computed across the 127 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Editorial read
Mégantic, a mixed riding in Quebec, elected a member with the CAQ in the previous cycle, with a 24-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the PQ ahead at 27% vote share, against 25% for the Quebec Conservatives, and the race could swing.
Sitting member
François Jacques
Sits with CAQ
Who's running
The candidates
Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.
-
CAQ Incumbent
François Jacques
Elected as Member of Parliament for Mégantic in 2018 and later appointed Parliamentary Assistant to Municipal Affairs and Housing, François Jacques is co-owner of Centre Funéraire Jacques et fils. He also served as a municipal councillor in Lac-Mégantic and worked as an ambulance attendant.
source ↗ - Other Challenger
Claude Jr Tremblay
source ↗ -
PCQ Challenger
Jimmy Gagnon
Born in Lac-Drolet and deeply rooted in his region, Jimmy Gagnon is an entrepreneur and father of four. After beginning work in the granite industry, he founded his own company at 22 and grew it until selling it in 2022. His career also led him to work in real estate, renovation, maple syrup production and wooded land, as well as to become involved in municipal affairs. Jimmy wishes to put his hands-on, entrepreneurial and management experience at the service of Mégantic residents. Committed to common sense, responsibility and closeness to citizens, he wants to defend the realities of families, municipalities and entrepreneurs in his region with determination.
source ↗ -
PQ Challenger
Debbie Fennety
source ↗ -
QLP Challenger
Sylvain Houle
With nearly 40 years of experience in the field of social intervention and the helping relationship, Sylvain has devoted his career to supporting individuals and families during sometimes difficult times. Over the years, he notably worked at the Direction de la jeunesse, where he was called upon to intervene with young people, individuals, and families experiencing complex situations. His career also led him to work for three years within an Indigenous community on the Lower North Shore, an experience that enriched his understanding of the realities specific to the communities of the region. Today, he continues his professional commitment in private practice as part of helping relationship and family mediation services. Through all these experiences, Sylvain has always been committed to being present for people, listening to them, and supporting them with respect and kindness. × I commit to voting for Sylvain Houle as member of the National Assembly in the riding of Mégantic
source ↗ -
QS Challenger
Marilyn Ouellet
For 15 years, Marilyn Ouellet has worked in community and feminist settings, notably at Maison Jaune du Haut-Saint-François. A hands-on woman, former owner of an organic market garden and now president of a health solidarity cooperative, she perfectly understands the challenges related to the cost of living, the accessibility and quality of food, and health care in the regions. She is running again for Québec solidaire in Mégantic to defend a vision of society deeply rooted in the needs of her region.
source ↗
Previous election · 2022
Detailed result · QC 2022
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| François Jacques Elected | CAQ | 12,973 | 46.2 | — |
| Mathieu Chenard | PCQ | 6,252 | 22.3 | — |
| Marilyn Ouellet | QS | 3,592 | 12.8 | — |
| André Duncan | PQ | 3,588 | 12.8 | — |
| Eloïse Gagné | QLP | 1,604 | 5.7 | — |
| André Giguère | Other | 89 | 0.3 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
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- Last model run
- Cycle
qc_2026