Riding profile
La Pinière
The question
La Pinière: a safe seat for the Quebec Liberals?
Editorial read
La Pinière, a suburban riding in Quebec, elected a member with the Quebec Liberals in the previous cycle, with a 7-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Quebec Liberals ahead at 63% vote share, against 13% for the PQ, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Linda Caron
Sits with PLQ
Who's running
The candidates
Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.
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PLQ Incumbent 
Linda Caron
source ↗ -
CAQ Challenger 
Clément Mireault
Resident of La Pinière, where three generations of his family chose to settle, Clément is established in his community. Attached to the quality of life of his citizens and the development of his riding, he is convinced that Quebec's future rests on responsible management, a strong economy and the preservation of our cultural and linguistic uniqueness.
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PCQ Challenger 
Tzarevna Bratkova
Originally from Bulgaria and established in Quebec for more than 20 years, she chose to build her life here and actively contribute to her community. A trained lawyer, she now puts her sense of duty and commitment at the service of the population by occupying the functions of a correctional services officer.
source ↗
Current forecast
PLQ
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 48.5
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| PLQ | PQ | PCQ | CAQ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereLa Pinière | 63.0% | 13.2% | 10.9% | 5.0% |
| Provincial averageQuebec | 27.2% +35.8 | 30.1% −16.9 | 13.2% −2.3 | 20.3% −15.3 |
Provincial averages computed across the 127 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Previous election · QC 2022
Detailed result · QC 2022
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Linda Caron Elected | PLQ | 12,688 | 38.5 | — |
| Samuel Gatien | CAQ | 10,272 | 31.2 | — |
| Tzarevna Bratkova | PCQ | 3,345 | 10.2 | — |
| Jean-Claude Mugaba | QS | 3,301 | 10.0 | — |
| Suzanne Gagnon | PQ | 2,577 | 7.8 | — |
| Ryan Akshay Newbergher | Other | 396 | 1.2 | — |
| Donna Pinel | Other | 371 | 1.1 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
qc_2026