Riding profile
La Pinière
The question
La Pinière: a safe seat for the Quebec Liberals?
Current forecast
QLP
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 30.3
- P(close race)
- 0%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| QLP | CAQ | PCQ | PQ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereLa Pinière | 49.4% | 17.9% | 15.0% | 11.9% |
| Provincial averageQuebec | 23.4% +26.0 | 21.3% −3.4 | 16.1% −1.2 | 27.9% −16.0 |
Provincial averages computed across the 127 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Editorial read
La Pinière, a suburban riding in Quebec, elected a member with the Quebec Liberals in the previous cycle, with a 7-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Quebec Liberals ahead at 49% vote share, against 18% for the CAQ, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Linda Caron
Sits with QLP
Who's running
The candidates
Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.
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QLP Incumbent
Linda Caron
With a Master's degree in Public Administration, Linda Caron has recognized expertise in the fields of governance and public administration. Having held various positions at the École nationale d'administration publique, she has managed projects in municipal management, governance and continuing education for public managers. Some of her projects have won or been finalists for prestigious awards from the Union des municipalités du Québec, the Institut d'administration publique du Québec and the Institute of Public Administration of Canada. A resident of the La Pinière riding for over 30 years, the Liberal MP has a long record of civic involvement. She has been involved with the Maison de la famille de Brossard, the Amis de la Bibliothèque, the Association des gens d'affaires de Brossard and the Paroisse La Résurrection. Her volunteer work extends beyond the borders of the riding, serving on the board of Collège Durocher Saint-Lambert, chairing the Eulalie-Durocher Foundation and co-founding the Durocher Alumni Association. Prior to her career in public administration, Linda Caron was a translation entrepreneur and vice-president of the Ordre des traducteurs, terminologues et interprètes agréés du Québec, which gave her extensive knowledge of the Quebec professional system and the context of self-employed workers.
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CAQ Challenger
Clément Mireault
Resident of La Pinière, where three generations of his family chose to settle, Clément is established in his community. Attached to the quality of life of his citizens and the development of his riding, he is convinced that Quebec's future rests on responsible management, a strong economy and the preservation of our cultural and linguistic uniqueness.
source ↗ - Other Challenger
Emilia Farcutiu
source ↗ - Other Challenger
Tina Jiuru Zhu
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PCQ Challenger
Tzarevna Bratkova
Originally from Bulgaria and established in Quebec for more than 20 years, she chose to build her life here and actively contribute to her community. A trained lawyer, she now puts her sense of duty and commitment at the service of the population by occupying the functions of a correctional services officer.
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PQ Challenger
Sarah Plante
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QS Challenger
Jacinthe Chapleau
A musician, teacher and activist for the next generation, Jacinthe Chapleau mobilizes young people and workers around access to culture, housing and social justice. Driven by strong environmental convictions, she has been involved for several years in initiatives to protect the land. At the same time, Jacinthe is pursuing a career as a violinist, both performer and teacher. She leads workshops in several elementary schools to make music accessible to young people. Known for her attentiveness, determination and ability to bring people together, Jacinthe Chapleau now wants to put her energy and skills at the service of the people of La Pinière.
source ↗
Previous election · 2022
Detailed result · QC 2022
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Linda Caron Elected | QLP | 12,688 | 38.5 | — |
| Samuel Gatien | CAQ | 10,272 | 31.2 | — |
| Tzarevna Bratkova | PCQ | 3,345 | 10.2 | — |
| Jean-Claude Mugaba | QS | 3,301 | 10.0 | — |
| Suzanne Gagnon | PQ | 2,577 | 7.8 | — |
| Ryan Akshay Newbergher | Other | 396 | 1.2 | — |
| Donna Pinel | Other | 371 | 1.1 | — |
Around the region
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- Last model run
- Cycle
qc_2026