Riding profile
Berthier
The question
Berthier: will CAQ lose this seat to PQ?
Current forecast
PQ
Competitive
- Probability
- 98%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 10.2
- P(close race)
- 15%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| PQ | CAQ | PCQ | QLP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereBerthier | 38.2% | 28.1% | 14.4% | 10.3% |
| Provincial averageQuebec | 27.9% +10.3 | 21.3% +6.8 | 16.1% −1.7 | 23.4% −13.1 |
Provincial averages computed across the 127 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Editorial read
Berthier, a mixed riding in Quebec, elected a member with the CAQ in the previous cycle, with a 30-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the PQ ahead at 38% vote share, against 28% for the CAQ, and the riding remains competitive.
Sitting member
Caroline Proulx
Sits with CAQ
Who's running
The candidates
Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.
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CAQ Challenger
Alex Gagné
Born in Lanaudière, Alex Gagné has been involved in his community since the age of 15. At 18, he notably created the À deux pas de la réussite Foundation, an organization helping young people from disadvantaged backgrounds or with learning difficulties. After helping 4,000 young people, including several hundred in Matawinie and D’Autray, his involvement has helped raise nearly $2 million for educational perseverance in the region. Alex made the Top 30 list of the most influential Quebecers under 30, and was inducted as a member of the Order of Excellence in Education. Alex serves on the board of the Fondation des Samares and has actively helped organize several events in the region, including Les Doux jeudis in Saint-Alphonse-Rodriguez. Holding a master’s degree in business administration, he is particularly committed to entrepreneurship, sound management and youth participation.
source ↗ - Other Challenger
Isabelle Lamothe
source ↗ - Other Challenger
Jean-Pierre Lacombe
source ↗ -
PCQ Challenger
Steve Piché
source ↗ -
PQ Challenger
Elsie Lefebvre
source ↗ -
QLP Challenger
Louis-Victor Sylvestre
A distinguished attorney and recognized expert in land-use planning and the realities of the agricultural sector, Louis-Victor has an insider’s understanding of regional economic development—the kind that is built in collaboration with entrepreneurs, producers, and local elected officials. Admitted to the bar in 1977, he completed his education with a master’s degree in urban planning and an MBA in finance. In private practice since 1982, he specializes in administrative law, environmental law, and land-use planning law, particularly in the agricultural sector. For more than 35 years, he also shared his expertise with the next generation as an adjunct professor of “Administrative Property Law” at the University of Montreal’s Faculty of Law, teaching graduate-level courses in the Diploma in Notarial Law program. His professional commitment has also led him to serve on several committees of the Quebec Bar Association. In particular, he served as a member of the Standing Committee on Environmental Law from 1995 to 2013, as well as the Committee on Administrative Law from 1994 to 2013. In 2002, he became a member of the Liaison Committee between the Bar Association and the Quebec Administrative Tribunal. A career marked by expertise, dedication, and a deep understanding of the issues affecting our regions.
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QS Challenger
Amélie Drainville
For more than ten years, Amélie Drainville has actively campaigned to transform our relationship with nature and build a fairer Québec. A Québec solidaire candidate in 2022, Amélie is also a specialist in Québec’s food system, and she wants to transform our economy through the social economy. She is also the creator of the podcast La Gauchiste du fond du rang, where she gives progressives from every corner of Québec a voice. In 2026, Amélie is a strong voice for Berthier: attentive to local issues and connected to her community.
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Previous election · 2022
Detailed result · QC 2022
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Proulx Elected | CAQ | 21,256 | 51.0 | — |
| Julie Boucher | PQ | 8,682 | 20.8 | — |
| Amélie Drainville | QS | 5,877 | 14.1 | — |
| Benoit Primeau | PCQ | 4,585 | 11.0 | — |
| Hassan Abdallah | QLP | 1,064 | 2.5 | — |
| Claire Aubin | Other | 242 | 0.6 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
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- Last model run
- Cycle
qc_2026