Riding profile
Bertrand
The question
Bertrand: will CAQ lose this seat to PQ?
Current forecast
PQ
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 16.0
- P(close race)
- 2%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| PQ | CAQ | QLP | PCQ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereBertrand | 39.2% | 22.7% | 14.1% | 12.5% |
| Provincial averageQuebec | 27.9% +11.3 | 21.3% +1.4 | 23.4% −9.3 | 16.1% −3.6 |
Provincial averages computed across the 127 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Editorial read
Bertrand, a mixed riding in Quebec, elected a member with the CAQ in the previous cycle, with a 25-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the PQ ahead at 39% vote share, against 23% for the CAQ, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
France-Élaine Duranceau
Sits with CAQ
Who's running
The candidates
Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.
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CAQ Incumbent
France-Élaine Duranceau
An expert in the real estate, accounting, and taxation sectors, France-Élaine Duranceau has a developed economic profile. She has been active for over 20 years within various large-scale companies, whether as an auditor and tax specialist, vice-president, or serving on various committees and boards of directors.
source ↗ - Other Challenger
Guillaume Tremblay
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PCQ Challenger
Eliot Gallant
The page you requested cannot be found. Try refining your search or use the navigation above to find the article. Quebec 2026 election: Éric Duhaime says, ‘2026 is the year of conservatives.’ He believes his party now represents ‘the hope that things will change in Quebec.’ Published yesterday at 7:33 p.m. ‘I have the feeling that 2026 is the year of conservatives,’ Éric Duhaime declared confidently on the first day of a campaign that polls forecast will be abundant for the Conservative Party of Quebec (PCQ). However, old controversies resurfaced and marred the launch of a race that, according to projections, should open the doors of the National Assembly to him on October 5. Protective glasses on his face and ‘steel caps’ on his feet, […] Éric Duhaime proposes a 59% tax cut for businesses. 365 Access the Comments section. Open full screen. Éric Duhaime promises to lower business taxes if he becomes Quebec’s premier. A conservative government led by Éric Duhaime would reduce business taxes by 59% during a first mandate. Mr. Duhaime made the announcement Wednesday with several candidates in front of Revenu Québec’s head office in the Capitale-Nationale. Amid a tariff war with the United States, the Conservative Party of Quebec (PCQ) proposes gradually reducing the corporate income-tax rate […] A PQ candidate supports the conservatives’ third-link project. 63 Access the Comments section. Open full screen. Conservative leader Éric Duhaime envisions a second bridge on Île d’Orléans to allow motorists from the South Shore to reach Quebec City. (Archive photo.) The Parti Québécois candidate in Charlevoix–Côte-de-Beaupré, François Gariépy, supports Éric Duhaime’s proposed third highway link, which he hopes would cross Île d’Orléans. ‘This is probably the smartest proposal that has been made,’ Mr. Gariépy said emphatically last month on the radio station’s microphone. […]
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PQ Challenger
Alexandre Girard-Duchaine
Alexandre Girard-Duchaine has been Executive Director of the Chambre de commerce du cœur des Laurentides since 2023. He was Political Attaché for the Deputy of Saint-Jean at the National Assembly between 2013 and 2018 and Political Advisor for the Deputy of Rivière-du-Nord in the House of Commons between 2019 and 2023. He was also a candidate for the Parti Québécois in the 2022 general election. Named Personality of the Year by Info du Nord Sainte-Agathe, Alexandre Girard-Duchaine actively supported businesses in the region through the economic challenges of recent years. Drawing on this experience, he is convinced that the role of Deputy of Bertrand will give him the necessary levers to amplify his efforts to ensure increased prominence for the Laurentides economy. "I am joining today a political formation that I have known for a long time; a team determined to showcase our Quebec SMEs and give them the means to achieve their ambitions."
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QLP Challenger
Felipe Morales
An experienced lawyer and dedicated activist with the Quebec Liberal Party, Felipe Morales has maintained a deep connection to the Laurentians and Quebec for nearly forty years. Born in Mexico, he settled in Sainte-Agathe-des-Monts at the age of 15 after living in France and the United States. It was in the Laurentians that he completed high school, developed an interest in Quebec’s history and governance, and chose to build his future there. A law graduate of the University of Ottawa, Felipe was admitted to the Quebec Bar in 1995. Since then, he has developed extensive expertise in litigating before the courts and advising individuals, businesses, and organizations. Throughout his career, he has also had the privilege of working for a Quebec-based company with a significant presence in Mexico, which has allowed him to help bridge the gap between his country of birth and his adopted country. Since becoming a naturalized Canadian citizen, he has been an activist for the Quebec Liberal Party. He has been involved in several election campaigns and, notably, participated in the “No” campaign during the 1995 referendum. His political commitment is rooted in a deep conviction: to provide future generations with the same opportunities that Quebec has offered him. A lover of the Laurentians, where he enjoys many sports and is actively involved in his community, Felipe Morales is determined to put his enthusiasm and convictions to work for the residents of Bertrand.
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QS Challenger Nataël Bureau
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Previous election · 2022
Detailed result · QC 2022
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| France-Élaine Duranceau Elected | CAQ | 15,927 | 45.3 | — |
| Guillaume Freire | PQ | 7,259 | 20.6 | — |
| Julie Francoeur | QS | 5,682 | 16.1 | — |
| Philippe Meloni | PCQ | 3,444 | 9.8 | — |
| André Nadeau | QLP | 2,115 | 6.0 | — |
| Karine Steinberger | Other | 448 | 1.3 | — |
| Marie-Eve Ouellette | Other | 162 | 0.5 | — |
| Samuel Fortin | Other | 151 | 0.4 | — |
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qc_2026