Riding profile

Labelle

Provincial riding — QC · Mixed · rest

The question

Labelle: will CAQ lose this seat to PQ?

Editorial read

Labelle, a mixed riding in Quebec, elected a member with the CAQ in the previous cycle, with a 34-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the PQ ahead at 44% vote share, against 28% for the CAQ, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

Chantale Jeannotte

Sits with CAQ

Since
2022-10-03
Parliament
43th

Who's running

The candidates

Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.

Current forecast

PQ

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
15.6
P(close race)
1%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • PQ 44.1%
  • CAQ 28.4%
  • PLQ 11.8%
  • PCQ 8.9%
  • QS 6.2%
  • Other 0.6%

In context

How this riding stacks up

PQ CAQ PLQ PCQ
HereLabelle 44.1%28.4%11.8%8.9%
Provincial averageQuebec 30.1% +14.1 20.3% +8.1 27.2% −15.4 13.2% −4.2

Provincial averages computed across the 127 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Previous election · QC 2022

Won by
CAQ
Margin
34.0 pts
Turnout
65.2%
Margin shift vs current projection
-18.3 pts

Detailed result · QC 2022

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Chantale Jeannotte Elected CAQ 17,662 53.1 —
Daniel Corbeil PQ 6,366 19.1 —
Jasmine Roy QS 4,079 12.3 —
Claude Paquin PCQ 3,173 9.5 —
Annie Bélizaire PLQ 1,679 5.0 —
François Beauchamp Other 313 0.9 —

Around the region

Nearby ridings

Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.

Last model run
Cycle
qc_2026