Riding profile

Labelle

Provincial riding — QC · Mixed · rest

The question

Labelle: will CAQ lose this seat to PQ?

Current forecast

PQ

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
14.4
P(close race)
3%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • PQ 39.3%

    Catherine Drouin

  • CAQ 24.5%

    Chantal Roussel

  • QLP 14.6%

    Shawn Latulippe

  • PCQ 12.5%

    Jean-François Frigon

  • QS 8.5%

    Julie B. Savard

  • Other 0.7%

Watch list

The tightest races

Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.

  1. Drummond–Bois-FrancsCAQ60 %0.8 pt margin
  2. MaskinongéCAQ80 %1.0 pt margin
  3. Laviolette–Saint-MauricePQ86 %1.1 pt margin

In context

How this riding stacks up

PQ CAQ QLP PCQ
HereLabelle 39.3%24.5%14.6%12.5%
Provincial averageQuebec 27.9% +11.4 21.3% +3.2 23.4% −8.8 16.1% −3.7

Provincial averages computed across the 127 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Editorial read

Labelle, a mixed riding in Quebec, elected a member with the CAQ in the previous cycle, with a 34-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the PQ ahead at 39% vote share, against 25% for the CAQ, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

Chantale Jeannotte

Sits with CAQ

Since
2022-10-03
Parliament
43th

Who's running

The candidates

Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.

  • CAQ Challenger
    Chantal Roussel

    Chantal Roussel

    An accomplished entrepreneur and community builder in Labelle, Chantal Roussel has expertise in business start-ups and development as well as extensive community experience.

    source ↗
  • Other Challenger

    Natacha Alarie

    source ↗
  • Other Challenger

    Pierre Boutin

    source ↗
  • PCQ Challenger
    Jean-François Frigon

    Jean-François Frigon

    source ↗
  • PQ Challenger
    Catherine Drouin

    Catherine Drouin

    source ↗
  • QLP Challenger
    Shawn Latulippe

    Shawn Latulippe

    Founder of Inspimedia, a unifying project that brings together high school and CEGEP students around the creation of short films, Shawn is particularly interested in citizen participation, youth, and the creation of spaces where everyone can make their voice heard. His background was quickly marked by student involvement. He was president of his high school's student council, then president of his student association at CEGEP. His commitment was also expressed through several initiatives. He was notably a psychological health scout, an ambassador against sexual violence, and a cultural ambassador. These roles led him to raise awareness, foster dialogue, and contribute to environments that are more open, inclusive, and attentive to the realities experienced by young people. × I commit to voting for Shawn Latulippe as member of the National Assembly in the riding of Labelle

    source ↗
  • QS Challenger
    Julie B. Savard

    Julie B. Savard

    Originally from Mont-Laurier, Julie Savard is returning to the Laurentians with the desire to represent regional communities and defend a vision based on social and environmental justice. Active in citizen and ecofeminist movements, she campaigns for stronger communities in the face of isolation, the housing crisis and the cost of living. Convinced that change comes through popular education and collective action, she wants to bring a rural, caring voice rooted in the realities of the land.

    source ↗

Previous election · 2022

Won by
CAQ
Margin
34.0 pts
Turnout
65.2%
Margin shift vs current projection
-19.5 pts

Detailed result · QC 2022

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Chantale Jeannotte Elected CAQ 17,662 53.1 —
Daniel Corbeil PQ 6,366 19.1 —
Jasmine Roy QS 4,079 12.3 —
Claude Paquin PCQ 3,173 9.5 —
Annie Bélizaire QLP 1,679 5.0 —
François Beauchamp Other 313 0.9 —

Around the region

Nearby ridings

Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.

Last model run
Cycle
qc_2026