Riding profile
Hull
The question
Hull: will CAQ lose this seat to PLQ?
Editorial read
Hull, an urban riding in Quebec, elected a member with the CAQ in the previous cycle, with a 9-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Quebec Liberals ahead at 48% vote share, against 19% for the PQ, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Suzanne Tremblay
Sits with CAQ
Who's running
The candidates
Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.
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CAQ Incumbent 
Suzanne Tremblay
Well known for her strong involvement and determination to defend the interests of the community, Suzanne Tremblay is a woman of values and commitments. In addition to dedicating herself to enhancing the teaching profession, she stands out for her remarkable civic action, notably with the organization Équité Outaouais.
source ↗ -
PCQ Challenger 
Anne-Marie Couturier
For over twenty years, Anne-Marie has been deeply involved in the life of her community in the Hull sector of Gatineau. Driven by a strong sense of public service and civic engagement, she has always placed great importance on the well-being of families, seniors, and those who contribute every day to making their neighborhood thrive.
source ↗ -
PLQ Challenger 
Sacha Cannon
source ↗
Current forecast
PLQ
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 28.9
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| PLQ | PQ | QS | PCQ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereHull | 48.2% | 19.2% | 15.7% | 7.9% |
| Provincial averageQuebec | 27.2% +21.0 | 30.1% −10.8 | 8.3% +7.4 | 13.2% −5.2 |
Provincial averages computed across the 127 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Previous election · QC 2022
Detailed result · QC 2022
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Suzanne Tremblay Elected | CAQ | 11,060 | 34.6 | — |
| Maryse Gaudreault | PLQ | 8,276 | 25.9 | — |
| Mathieu Perron-Dufour | QS | 6,623 | 20.8 | — |
| Camille Pellerin-Forget | PQ | 3,122 | 9.8 | — |
| Lise Couture | PCQ | 2,189 | 6.9 | — |
| Rachid Jemmah | Other | 655 | 2.0 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
qc_2026