Riding profile

Abitibi-Ouest

Provincial riding — QC · Rural · rest

The question

Abitibi-Ouest: will CAQ lose this seat to PQ?

Editorial read

Abitibi-Ouest, a rural riding in Quebec, elected a member with the CAQ in the previous cycle, with a 26-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the PQ ahead at 53% vote share, against 22% for the CAQ, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

Suzanne Blais

Sits with CAQ

Since
2022-10-03
Parliament
43th

Who's running

The candidates

Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.

  • CAQ Incumbent
    Suzanne Blais

    Suzanne Blais

    A well-known businesswoman in Amos and an accomplished volunteer, Suzanne Blais is from Taschereau. Elected as the Member of Parliament for Abitibi-Ouest in 2018, her experience and involvement in government allowed her to contribute to the region's economic prosperity and make a difference at the community and social level as a member of the Health and Social Services Commission.

    source ↗
  • PQ Challenger
    Sébastien D'Astous

    Sébastien D'Astous

    With over a decade of experience as mayor of Amos, Sébastien is well positioned to understand the issues affecting citizens and citizenry in his riding. If he runs for deputy, it is because he wishes to contribute to building a better regional economic development model.

    source ↗

Current forecast

PQ

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
30.9
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • PQ 53.1%
  • CAQ 22.1%
  • PLQ 11.1%
  • PCQ 10.2%
  • QS 3.1%

In context

How this riding stacks up

PQ CAQ PLQ PCQ
HereAbitibi-Ouest 53.1%22.1%11.1%10.2%
Provincial averageQuebec 30.1% +23.0 20.3% +1.8 27.2% −16.1 13.2% −2.9

Provincial averages computed across the 127 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Previous election · QC 2022

Won by
CAQ
Margin
26.0 pts
Turnout
63.7%
Margin shift vs current projection
+5.0 pts

Detailed result · QC 2022

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Suzanne Blais Elected CAQ 10,399 46.8 —
Samuel Doré PQ 4,619 20.8 —
Alexis Lapierre QS 3,623 16.3 —
François Vigneault PCQ 2,293 10.3 —
Guy Bourgeois PLQ 1,153 5.2 —
Jonathan Blanchette Other 159 0.7 —

Around the region

Nearby ridings

Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.

Last model run
Cycle
qc_2026