Riding profile

La Peltrie

Provincial riding — QC · Mixed · qcc

The question

La Peltrie: will CAQ lose this seat to PCQ?

Current forecast

PCQ

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
9.6
P(close race)
1%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • PCQ 36.5%

    Me Maïté Blanchette Vézina

  • CAQ 26.9%

    Véronique Laprise

  • PQ 18.7%

    Julie Vignola

  • QLP 12.7%

    Alain Chandonnet

  • QS 4.7%

    Frédéric Aubé

  • Other 0.6%

    Emilie Roberge-Boily Parti nul

Watch list

The tightest races

Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.

  1. Drummond–Bois-FrancsCAQ60 %0.8 pt margin
  2. MaskinongéCAQ80 %1.0 pt margin
  3. Laviolette–Saint-MauricePQ86 %1.1 pt margin

In context

How this riding stacks up

PCQ CAQ PQ QLP
HereLa Peltrie 36.5%26.9%18.7%12.7%
Provincial averageQuebec 16.1% +20.3 21.3% +5.6 27.9% −9.2 23.4% −10.7

Provincial averages computed across the 127 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Editorial read

La Peltrie, a mixed riding in Quebec, elected a member with the CAQ in the previous cycle, with a 15-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Quebec Conservatives ahead at 36% vote share, against 27% for the CAQ, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

Éric Caire

Sits with CAQ

Since
2022-10-03
Parliament
43th

Who's running

The candidates

Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.

  • CAQ Challenger
    Véronique Laprise

    Véronique Laprise

    Former officer of the Canadian Armed Forces, Véronique Laprise possesses extensive experience in governance, public security and government affairs. Her roles as strategic advisor at the Ministry of Cybersecurity and Digital Affairs and political attaché to the Government of Quebec allowed her to develop an excellent understanding of the workings of the State.

    source ↗
  • Other Challenger

    Emilie Roberge-Boily

    source ↗
  • PCQ Challenger
    Me Maïté Blanchette Vézina

    Me Maïté Blanchette Vézina

    Me Maïté Blanchette Vézina is a business law attorney and a hands-on professional deeply committed to Quebec's regions. Before entering the Assemblée nationale in 2022, she served as regional director of Centraide Bas-Saint-Laurent and as mayor of Sainte-Luce. As Member of Parliament for Rimouski, she also served as Minister of Natural Resources and Forests and Minister responsible for Bas-Saint-Laurent and Gaspésie–Îles-de-la-Madeleine. Her career has given her solid experience in business, management, regional development, and governance. After sitting as an independent Member, Maïté Blanchette Vézina chose to join the Parti conservateur du Québec in order to continue her commitment to Quebec's autonomy and to strengthening the regions. She wants to reduce the size of the State and the tax burden, promote the development of our natural resources, protect families' purchasing power, and bring decisions closer to citizens. In La Peltrie, she wants to put her experience at the service of concrete, accessible, and results-focused representation.

    source ↗
  • PQ Challenger
    Julie Vignola

    Julie Vignola

    source ↗
  • QLP Challenger
    Alain Chandonnet

    Alain Chandonnet

    After more than thirty-five years of experience in the technology sector as an entrepreneur, researcher, executive, and innovation manager, Alain Chandonnet is making the leap into provincial politics under the banner of the Quebec Liberal Party. A physicist by training and holder of a Ph.D. in laser physics from the prestigious Center for Optics, Photonics, and Lasers (COPL) at Laval University, Alain Chandonnet began his career in industrial research at the National Institute of Optics (INO). In 2000, he went into business by co-founding TeraXion, a high-tech company specializing in the development of optical components for ultra-high-speed fiber-optic telecommunications networks. A few years later, he also founded Handyem, a company specializing in the development of portable biomedical analysis instruments. In 2017, after several years in the private sector, Alain Chandonnet was appointed president and CEO of the National Institute of Optics. At the helm of the organization, he spearheaded a major transformation that culminated in the merger of the INO and the Montreal Computer Research Center (CRIM), giving rise to Luqia, Quebec’s largest industrial innovation center for companies working in the fields of photonics, quantum technologies, and artificial intelligence. In addition to his career as a technology entrepreneur, Alain Chandonnet is the author of several scientific publications. Recognized by his peers, he now wishes to contribute to the public debate by drawing on the intellectual rigor and scientific approach that have guided his professional career. Against a backdrop of profound global technological transformations, his joining the Quebec Liberal Party underscores the importance placed on innovation and cutting-edge technologies in the economic vision championed by party leader Charles Milliard. Deeply rooted in his community, Alain Chandonnet was also a member of the Capitale-Nationale Project Committee, an initiative of the Quebec City Chamber of Commerce and Industry (CCIQ). In that capacity, he championed Quebec City’s status as the national capital.

    source ↗
  • QS Challenger
    Frédéric Aubé

    Frédéric Aubé

    source ↗

Previous election · 2022

Won by
CAQ
Margin
14.5 pts
Turnout
73.7%
Margin shift vs current projection
-4.9 pts

Detailed result · QC 2022

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Éric Caire Elected CAQ 19,714 44.4
Stéphane Lachance PCQ 13,291 29.9
Martin Trudel PQ 4,415 9.9
Lucie Villeneuve QS 3,954 8.9
Frédéric Doumalin QLP 2,517 5.7
Sandra Mara Riedo Other 289 0.7
Olivier Grondin Other 151 0.3
Alain Fortin Other 71 0.2
Martin Grand'Maison Other 46 0.1
Last model run
Cycle
qc_2026