Riding profile
La Peltrie
The question
La Peltrie: will CAQ lose this seat to PCQ?
Current forecast
PCQ
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 9.6
- P(close race)
- 1%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| PCQ | CAQ | PQ | QLP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereLa Peltrie | 36.5% | 26.9% | 18.7% | 12.7% |
| Provincial averageQuebec | 16.1% +20.3 | 21.3% +5.6 | 27.9% −9.2 | 23.4% −10.7 |
Provincial averages computed across the 127 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Editorial read
La Peltrie, a mixed riding in Quebec, elected a member with the CAQ in the previous cycle, with a 15-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Quebec Conservatives ahead at 36% vote share, against 27% for the CAQ, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Éric Caire
Sits with CAQ
Who's running
The candidates
Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.
-
CAQ Challenger
Véronique Laprise
Former officer of the Canadian Armed Forces, Véronique Laprise possesses extensive experience in governance, public security and government affairs. Her roles as strategic advisor at the Ministry of Cybersecurity and Digital Affairs and political attaché to the Government of Quebec allowed her to develop an excellent understanding of the workings of the State.
source ↗ - Other Challenger
Emilie Roberge-Boily
source ↗ -
PCQ Challenger
Me Maïté Blanchette Vézina
Me Maïté Blanchette Vézina is a business law attorney and a hands-on professional deeply committed to Quebec's regions. Before entering the Assemblée nationale in 2022, she served as regional director of Centraide Bas-Saint-Laurent and as mayor of Sainte-Luce. As Member of Parliament for Rimouski, she also served as Minister of Natural Resources and Forests and Minister responsible for Bas-Saint-Laurent and Gaspésie–Îles-de-la-Madeleine. Her career has given her solid experience in business, management, regional development, and governance. After sitting as an independent Member, Maïté Blanchette Vézina chose to join the Parti conservateur du Québec in order to continue her commitment to Quebec's autonomy and to strengthening the regions. She wants to reduce the size of the State and the tax burden, promote the development of our natural resources, protect families' purchasing power, and bring decisions closer to citizens. In La Peltrie, she wants to put her experience at the service of concrete, accessible, and results-focused representation.
source ↗ -
PQ Challenger
Julie Vignola
source ↗ -
QLP Challenger
Alain Chandonnet
After more than thirty-five years of experience in the technology sector as an entrepreneur, researcher, executive, and innovation manager, Alain Chandonnet is making the leap into provincial politics under the banner of the Quebec Liberal Party. A physicist by training and holder of a Ph.D. in laser physics from the prestigious Center for Optics, Photonics, and Lasers (COPL) at Laval University, Alain Chandonnet began his career in industrial research at the National Institute of Optics (INO). In 2000, he went into business by co-founding TeraXion, a high-tech company specializing in the development of optical components for ultra-high-speed fiber-optic telecommunications networks. A few years later, he also founded Handyem, a company specializing in the development of portable biomedical analysis instruments. In 2017, after several years in the private sector, Alain Chandonnet was appointed president and CEO of the National Institute of Optics. At the helm of the organization, he spearheaded a major transformation that culminated in the merger of the INO and the Montreal Computer Research Center (CRIM), giving rise to Luqia, Quebec’s largest industrial innovation center for companies working in the fields of photonics, quantum technologies, and artificial intelligence. In addition to his career as a technology entrepreneur, Alain Chandonnet is the author of several scientific publications. Recognized by his peers, he now wishes to contribute to the public debate by drawing on the intellectual rigor and scientific approach that have guided his professional career. Against a backdrop of profound global technological transformations, his joining the Quebec Liberal Party underscores the importance placed on innovation and cutting-edge technologies in the economic vision championed by party leader Charles Milliard. Deeply rooted in his community, Alain Chandonnet was also a member of the Capitale-Nationale Project Committee, an initiative of the Quebec City Chamber of Commerce and Industry (CCIQ). In that capacity, he championed Quebec City’s status as the national capital.
source ↗ -
QS Challenger
Frédéric Aubé
source ↗
Previous election · 2022
Detailed result · QC 2022
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Éric Caire Elected | CAQ | 19,714 | 44.4 | — |
| Stéphane Lachance | PCQ | 13,291 | 29.9 | — |
| Martin Trudel | PQ | 4,415 | 9.9 | — |
| Lucie Villeneuve | QS | 3,954 | 8.9 | — |
| Frédéric Doumalin | QLP | 2,517 | 5.7 | — |
| Sandra Mara Riedo | Other | 289 | 0.7 | — |
| Olivier Grondin | Other | 151 | 0.3 | — |
| Alain Fortin | Other | 71 | 0.2 | — |
| Martin Grand'Maison | Other | 46 | 0.1 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
qc_2026