Riding profile

La Peltrie

Provincial riding — QC · Mixed · qcc

The question

La Peltrie: who wins this toss-up?

Editorial read

La Peltrie, a mixed riding in Quebec, elected a member with the CAQ in the previous cycle, with a 15-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Quebec Conservatives ahead at 35% vote share, against 31% for the CAQ, and the race could swing.

Sitting member

Éric Caire

Sits with CAQ

Since
2022-10-03
Parliament
43th

Who's running

The candidates

Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.

  • CAQ Challenger
    Véronique Laprise

    Véronique Laprise

    Former officer of the Canadian Armed Forces, Véronique Laprise possesses extensive experience in governance, public security and government affairs. Her roles as strategic advisor at the Ministry of Cybersecurity and Digital Affairs and political attaché to the Government of Quebec allowed her to develop an excellent understanding of the workings of the State.

    source ↗
  • PLQ Challenger

    Alain Chandonnet

    source ↗

Current forecast

PCQ

Toss-up

Probability
96%
Mean margin (pts)
3.5
P(close race)
79%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • PCQ 34.6%
  • CAQ 31.1%
  • PQ 20.2%
  • PLQ 9.5%
  • QS 3.9%
  • Other 0.7%

In context

How this riding stacks up

PCQ CAQ PQ PLQ
HereLa Peltrie 34.6%31.1%20.2%9.5%
Provincial averageQuebec 13.2% +21.4 20.3% +10.9 30.1% −9.9 27.2% −17.6

Provincial averages computed across the 127 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Previous election · QC 2022

Won by
CAQ
Margin
14.5 pts
Turnout
73.7%
Margin shift vs current projection
-11.0 pts

Detailed result · QC 2022

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Éric Caire Elected CAQ 19,714 44.4
Stéphane Lachance PCQ 13,291 29.9
Martin Trudel PQ 4,415 9.9
Lucie Villeneuve QS 3,954 8.9
Frédéric Doumalin PLQ 2,517 5.7
Sandra Mara Riedo Other 289 0.7
Olivier Grondin Other 151 0.3
Alain Fortin Other 71 0.2
Martin Grand'Maison Other 46 0.1
Last model run
Cycle
qc_2026