Riding profile

Jean-Lesage

Provincial riding — QC · Urban · qcc

The question

Jean-Lesage: who wins this toss-up?

Editorial read

Jean-Lesage, an urban riding in Quebec, elected a member with Québec solidaire in the previous cycle, with a 7-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Québec solidaire ahead at 27% vote share, against 25% for the PQ, and the race could swing.

Sitting member

Sol Zanetti

Sits with QS

Since
2022-10-03
Parliament
43th

Who's running

The candidates

Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.

Current forecast

QS

Toss-up

Probability
87%
Mean margin (pts)
2.2
P(close race)
95%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • QS 27.2%
  • PQ 25.2%
  • CAQ 19.6%
  • PCQ 18.1%
  • PLQ 8.8%
  • Other 1.1%

In context

How this riding stacks up

QS PQ CAQ PCQ
HereJean-Lesage 27.2%25.2%19.6%18.1%
Provincial averageQuebec 8.3% +18.9 30.1% −4.9 20.3% −0.7 13.2% +5.0

Provincial averages computed across the 127 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Previous election · QC 2022

Won by
QS
Margin
6.5 pts
Turnout
67.3%
Margin shift vs current projection
-4.3 pts

Detailed result · QC 2022

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Sol Zanetti Elected QS 11,390 37.8
Christiane Gamache CAQ 9,426 31.3
Denise Peter PCQ 4,258 14.1
Michaël Potvin PQ 3,337 11.1
Charles Robert PLQ 1,326 4.4
Félix-Antoine Bérubé-Simard Other 237 0.8
Mario Ledoux Other 67 0.2
Claude Moreau Other 57 0.2
Lucie Perreault Other 56 0.2
Last model run
Cycle
qc_2026