Riding profile

Lévis

Provincial riding — QC · Mixed · qcc

The question

Lévis: who wins this toss-up?

Editorial read

Lévis, a mixed riding in Quebec, elected a member with the CAQ in the previous cycle, with a 28-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the CAQ ahead at 30% vote share, against 30% for the Quebec Conservatives, and the race could swing.

Sitting member

Bernard Drainville

Sits with CAQ

Since
2022-10-03
Parliament
43th

Who's running

The candidates

Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.

  • CAQ Incumbent
    Bernard Drainville

    Bernard Drainville

    A passionate follower of current events and a distinguished journalist, Bernard Drainville is also a veteran of political life. Father of three children, Bernard will leverage his experience in politics, his communication skills, and his mastery of all types of files to defend the interests of citizens in Lévis.

    source ↗
  • PLQ Challenger

    Brittany Blais

    source ↗

Current forecast

CAQ

Toss-up

Probability
37%
Mean margin (pts)
3.6
P(close race)
74%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • CAQ 30.2%
  • PCQ 29.6%
  • PQ 27.0%
  • PLQ 8.8%
  • QS 3.9%
  • Other 0.5%

In context

How this riding stacks up

CAQ PCQ PQ PLQ
HereLévis 30.2%29.6%27.0%8.8%
Provincial averageQuebec 20.3% +9.9 13.2% +16.5 30.1% −3.1 27.2% −18.4

Provincial averages computed across the 127 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Previous election · QC 2022

Won by
CAQ
Margin
28.0 pts
Turnout
73.7%
Margin shift vs current projection
-24.5 pts

Detailed result · QC 2022

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Bernard Drainville Elected CAQ 18,051 48.8
Karine Laflamme PCQ 7,677 20.8
Pierre-Gilles Morel PQ 4,775 12.9
Valérie Cayouette-Guilloteau QS 4,244 11.5
Richard Garon PLQ 1,899 5.1
Mehdi Lahlou Other 213 0.6
André Voyer Other 138 0.4
Last model run
Cycle
qc_2026