Riding profile

Taschereau

Provincial riding — QC · Urban · qcc

The question

Taschereau: will QS lose this seat to PQ?

Editorial read

Taschereau, an urban riding in Quebec, elected a member with Québec solidaire in the previous cycle, with a 17-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the PQ ahead at 40% vote share, against 27% for Québec solidaire, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

Etienne Grandmont

Sits with QS

Since
2022-10-03
Parliament
43th

Who's running

The candidates

Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.

  • PCQ Challenger
    Eliot Estévez-Verville

    Eliot Estévez-Verville

    Despite his young age, Eliot engages in politics with the will to contribute to the emergence of a new generation that wishes to actively participate in public decisions. For him, becoming an MNA is a way to make the voice of all generations heard and to defend a vision of Quebec turned towards the future, based on dialogue and the search for concrete solutions.

    source ↗
  • PLQ Challenger
    Farnell Morisset

    Farnell Morisset

    source ↗

Current forecast

PQ

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
13.3
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • PQ 40.2%
  • QS 26.9%
  • CAQ 11.5%
  • PCQ 10.9%
  • PLQ 9.3%
  • Other 1.1%

In context

How this riding stacks up

PQ QS CAQ PCQ
HereTaschereau 40.2%26.9%11.5%10.9%
Provincial averageQuebec 30.1% +10.1 8.3% +18.6 20.3% −8.8 13.2% −2.2

Provincial averages computed across the 127 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Previous election · QC 2022

Won by
QS
Margin
17.0 pts
Turnout
72.3%
Margin shift vs current projection
-3.7 pts

Detailed result · QC 2022

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Etienne Grandmont Elected QS 13,588 39.5 —
Jeanne Robin PQ 7,757 22.6 —
Pascale St-Hilaire CAQ 7,537 21.9 —
Marie-Josée Hélie PCQ 3,012 8.8 —
Ahmed Lamine Touré PLQ 2,025 5.9 —
Andrew Karim Other 225 0.7 —
Jean-François Joubert Other 102 0.3 —
Marie-Soleil Fillion Other 83 0.2 —
Guy Boivin Other 41 0.1 —

Around the region

Nearby ridings

Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.

Last model run
Cycle
qc_2026