Riding profile
Chauveau
The question
Chauveau: who wins this toss-up?
Editorial read
Chauveau, a mixed riding in Quebec, elected a member with the CAQ in the previous cycle, with a 15-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the CAQ ahead at 37% vote share, against 31% for the Quebec Conservatives, and the race could swing.
Sitting member
Sylvain Lévesque
Sits with CAQ
Current forecast
CAQ
Toss-up
- Probability
- 99%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 5.4
- P(close race)
- 42%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| CAQ | PCQ | PQ | PLQ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereChauveau | 36.7% | 31.3% | 19.2% | 7.9% |
| Provincial averageQuebec | 20.3% +16.4 | 13.2% +18.1 | 30.1% −10.9 | 27.2% −19.2 |
Provincial averages computed across the 127 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Previous election · QC 2022
Detailed result · QC 2022
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sylvain Lévesque Elected | CAQ | 20,292 | 46.8 | — |
| Éric Duhaime | PCQ | 13,794 | 31.8 | — |
| Jimena Ruiz Aragon | QS | 3,816 | 8.8 | — |
| Charles-Hubert Riverin | PQ | 3,307 | 7.6 | — |
| Igor Pivovar | PLQ | 1,651 | 3.8 | — |
| Renaud Blais | Other | 213 | 0.5 | — |
| Christine Lepage | Other | 201 | 0.5 | — |
| Nicolas Bouffard-Savoie | Other | 44 | 0.1 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
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- Last model run
- Cycle
qc_2026