Riding profile

Charlevoix–Côte-de-Beaupré

Provincial riding — QC · Mixed · qcc

The question

Charlevoix–Côte-de-Beaupré: who wins this toss-up?

Editorial read

Charlevoix–Côte-de-Beaupré, a mixed riding in Quebec, elected a member with the CAQ in the previous cycle, with a 30-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the PQ ahead at 34% vote share, against 31% for the CAQ, and the race could swing.

Sitting member

Kariane Bourassa

Sits with CAQ

Since
2022-10-03
Parliament
43th

Who's running

The candidates

Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.

  • CAQ Incumbent
    Kariane Bourassa

    Kariane Bourassa

    Kariane Bourassa has nearly 15 years of experience in the media field. She notably became known to the general public on TVA Nouvelles.

    source ↗

Current forecast

PQ

Toss-up

Probability
74%
Mean margin (pts)
5.1
P(close race)
55%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • PQ 34.3%
  • CAQ 30.9%
  • PCQ 21.6%
  • PLQ 8.1%
  • QS 4.8%

In context

How this riding stacks up

PQ CAQ PCQ PLQ
HereCharlevoix–Côte-de-Beaupré 34.3%30.9%21.6%8.1%
Provincial averageQuebec 30.1% +4.2 20.3% +10.7 13.2% +8.4 27.2% −19.0

Provincial averages computed across the 127 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Previous election · QC 2022

Won by
CAQ
Margin
30.1 pts
Turnout
70.2%
Margin shift vs current projection
-25.0 pts

Detailed result · QC 2022

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Kariane Bourassa Elected CAQ 17,979 48.2 —
Odré Lacombe PCQ 6,763 18.1 —
Lucien Rodrigue PQ 6,041 16.2 —
Myriam Fortin QS 4,677 12.5 —
Michel Bureau PLQ 1,756 4.7 —
Stefany Tremblay Other 106 0.3 —

Around the region

Nearby ridings

Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.

Last model run
Cycle
qc_2026