Riding profile
Charlevoix–Côte-de-Beaupré
The question
Charlevoix–Côte-de-Beaupré: who wins this toss-up?
Current forecast
PQ
Toss-up
- Probability
- 73%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 4.9
- P(close race)
- 58%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| PQ | CAQ | PCQ | QLP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereCharlevoix–Côte-de-Beaupré | 30.6% | 26.2% | 24.3% | 11.7% |
| Provincial averageQuebec | 27.9% +2.7 | 21.3% +4.9 | 16.1% +8.2 | 23.4% −11.7 |
Provincial averages computed across the 127 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Editorial read
Charlevoix–Côte-de-Beaupré, a mixed riding in Quebec, elected a member with the CAQ in the previous cycle, with a 30-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the PQ ahead at 31% vote share, against 26% for the CAQ, and the race could swing.
Sitting member
Kariane Bourassa
Sits with CAQ
Who's running
The candidates
Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.
-
CAQ Incumbent
Kariane Bourassa
Kariane Bourassa has nearly 15 years of experience in the media field. She notably became known to the general public on TVA Nouvelles.
source ↗ - Other Challenger
Mario Desjardins Pelchat
source ↗ -
PCQ Challenger
Caroline Simard
source ↗ -
PQ Challenger
François Gariépy
A journalist who worked at several radio stations, including CHOI Radio X, and at Voir magazine, François Gariépy spent countless hours covering public-funds waste and resulting scandals. He believes public services must be restored by reducing bureaucracy, waste, and unnecessary controls and easing regulations that stifle society. He knows Charlevoix–Côte-de-Beaupré's realities and wants to represent its people; the Mont-Sainte-Anne file illustrates the CAQ's monumental failure.
source ↗ -
QLP Challenger
Michel Bureau
For nearly 50 years, Michel has been active in the media world, from print press to radio and television. He began his career in 1976 at the Journal Sport illustré, before contributing notably to Pop-Rock magazine, the Guide de Montréal-Nord, the Hebdos Transcontinental, and the Super Hebdo de Quebecor. He then continued his career in radio, notably at CKLM, as well as in television, as host and producer of variety and public affairs programs. Michel knows Charlevoix particularly well. He notably worked there as a journalist at Le Charlevoisien, where he covered municipal life, regional development, and local realities. × I commit to voting for Michel Bureau as deputy in the constituency of Charlevoix–Côte-de-Beaupré
source ↗ -
QS Challenger
Dulce Vivar
Dulce Vivar is a professional and activist deeply committed to social justice and equal opportunity. Her sustained work with communities supports her desire to build a more solidaristic and equitable Quebec. Trained in political science at Université de Montréal and working in territorial development, she takes a humane, pragmatic, and unifying approach to living conditions, access to public services, and civic participation. She wants to represent Charlevoix–Côte-de-Beaupré residents in the National Assembly and help establish concrete solutions improving everyone's daily lives.
source ↗
Previous election · 2022
Detailed result · QC 2022
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kariane Bourassa Elected | CAQ | 17,979 | 48.2 | — |
| Odré Lacombe | PCQ | 6,763 | 18.1 | — |
| Lucien Rodrigue | PQ | 6,041 | 16.2 | — |
| Myriam Fortin | QS | 4,677 | 12.5 | — |
| Michel Bureau | QLP | 1,756 | 4.7 | — |
| Stefany Tremblay | Other | 106 | 0.3 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
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- Last model run
- Cycle
qc_2026