Riding profile
Bellechasse
The question
Bellechasse: will CAQ lose this seat to PCQ?
Editorial read
Bellechasse, a mixed riding in Quebec, elected a member with the CAQ in the previous cycle, with a 10-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Quebec Conservatives ahead at 47% vote share, against 27% for the CAQ, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Stéphanie Lachance
Sits with CAQ
Who's running
The candidates
Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.
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CAQ Incumbent 
Stéphanie Lachance
Passionate about education and entrepreneurship, Stéphanie Lachance worked for 10 years at various publishing houses in schools, and 8 years within a specialized firm in recruitment, evaluation, and succession planning for companies in Chaudière-Appalaches. Parliamentary assistant to the Minister of Family since being elected as the Member of Parliament for Bellechasse in 2018, she supports him in addressing the daycare space deficit.
source ↗
Current forecast
PCQ
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 20.3
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| PCQ | CAQ | PQ | PLQ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereBellechasse | 47.2% | 26.7% | 16.1% | 6.6% |
| Provincial averageQuebec | 13.2% +34.0 | 20.3% +6.4 | 30.1% −14.0 | 27.2% −20.6 |
Provincial averages computed across the 127 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Previous election · QC 2022
Detailed result · QC 2022
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stéphanie Lachance Elected | CAQ | 15,065 | 45.7 | — |
| Michel Tardif | PCQ | 11,612 | 35.3 | — |
| Jean-Daniel Fontaine | PQ | 2,908 | 8.8 | — |
| Jérôme D'Auteuil Sirois | QS | 1,988 | 6.0 | — |
| François Bégin | PLQ | 1,360 | 4.1 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
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- Last model run
- Cycle
qc_2026