Riding profile

Duplessis

Provincial riding — QC · Rural · rest

The question

Duplessis: will CAQ lose this seat to PQ?

Editorial read

Duplessis, a rural riding in Quebec, elected a member with the CAQ in the previous cycle, with a 20-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the PQ ahead at 52% vote share, against 17% for the CAQ, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

Kateri Champagne Jourdain

Sits with CAQ

Since
2022-10-03
Parliament
43th

Who's running

The candidates

Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.

  • CAQ Incumbent
    Kateri Champagne Jourdain

    Kateri Champagne Jourdain

    From the Innu community of Uashat Mak Mani-utenam on the Côte-Nord, Kateri Champagne-Jourdain is a young professional whose career is worthy of mention. Indeed, in 2019, she became the first Indigenous person to sit on the board of directors of Desjardins Movement.

    source ↗

Current forecast

PQ

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
35.2
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • PQ 52.4%
  • CAQ 16.8%
  • PCQ 16.7%
  • PLQ 11.6%
  • QS 1.5%
  • Other 1.0%

In context

How this riding stacks up

PQ CAQ PCQ PLQ
HereDuplessis 52.4%16.8%16.7%11.6%
Provincial averageQuebec 30.1% +22.3 20.3% −3.4 13.2% +3.5 27.2% −15.5

Provincial averages computed across the 127 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Previous election · QC 2022

Won by
CAQ
Margin
20.4 pts
Turnout
53.2%
Margin shift vs current projection
+14.8 pts

Detailed result · QC 2022

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Kateri Champagne Jourdain Elected CAQ 8,785 45.1 —
Marilou Vanier PQ 4,825 24.8 —
Roberto Stea PCQ 3,059 15.7 —
Uapukun Mestokosho QS 1,821 9.4 —
Chamroeun Khuon PLQ 783 4.0 —
Jacques Gélineau Other 190 1.0 —

Around the region

Nearby ridings

Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.

Last model run
Cycle
qc_2026