Riding profile

René-Lévesque

Provincial riding — QC · Rural · rest

The question

René-Lévesque: will CAQ lose this seat to PQ?

Editorial read

René-Lévesque, a rural riding in Quebec, elected a member with the CAQ in the previous cycle, with a 38-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the PQ ahead at 50% vote share, against 32% for the CAQ, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

Yves Montigny

Sits with CAQ

Since
2022-10-03
Parliament
43th

Who's running

The candidates

Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.

  • CAQ Incumbent
    Yves Montigny

    Yves Montigny

    Native of Baie-Comeau, Yves has been part of the community for as long as he can remember. A teacher by training and a family man, he has contributed to improving the quality of life for citizens in the riding for several years as mayor of Baie-Comeau.

    source ↗

Current forecast

PQ

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
18.9
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • PQ 50.4%
  • CAQ 31.5%
  • PCQ 10.4%
  • PLQ 5.6%
  • QS 1.7%

In context

How this riding stacks up

PQ CAQ PCQ PLQ
HereRené-Lévesque 50.4%31.5%10.4%5.6%
Provincial averageQuebec 30.1% +20.3 20.3% +11.2 13.2% −2.8 27.2% −21.5

Provincial averages computed across the 127 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Previous election · QC 2022

Won by
CAQ
Margin
37.8 pts
Turnout
59.9%
Margin shift vs current projection
-18.9 pts

Detailed result · QC 2022

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Yves Montigny Elected CAQ 11,377 58.9
Jeff Dufour Tremblay PQ 4,087 21.2
Marie Renée Raymond PCQ 1,955 10.1
Audrey Givern-Héroux QS 1,459 7.6
Marc Duperron PLQ 307 1.6
Richard Delisle Other 82 0.4
(Philippe) Gilles Babin Other 42 0.2
Last model run
Cycle
qc_2026