Riding profile
Bonaventure
The question
Bonaventure: will CAQ lose this seat to PQ?
Editorial read
Bonaventure, a rural riding in Quebec, elected a member with the CAQ in the previous cycle, with a 14-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the PQ ahead at 60% vote share, against 16% for the CAQ, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Catherine Blouin
Sits with CAQ
Who's running
The candidates
Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.
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CAQ Incumbent 
Catherine Blouin
Communication advisor and project manager at the Integrated Health and Social Services Centre (CISSS) of Gaspésie, Catherine Blouin has lived in the Bonaventure riding for as long as she can remember. A hands-on and action-oriented woman, this young mother is motivated by the desire to contribute to the development of her region and achieve a better quality of life for its citizens.
source ↗
Current forecast
PQ
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 43.2
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| PQ | CAQ | PLQ | PCQ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereBonaventure | 60.0% | 16.4% | 15.3% | 5.8% |
| Provincial averageQuebec | 30.1% +29.9 | 20.3% −3.9 | 27.2% −11.9 | 13.2% −7.4 |
Provincial averages computed across the 127 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Previous election · QC 2022
Detailed result · QC 2022
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Catherine Blouin Elected | CAQ | 9,919 | 44.5 | — |
| Alexis Deschênes | PQ | 6,708 | 30.1 | — |
| Catherine Cyr Wright | QS | 2,417 | 10.8 | — |
| Christian Cyr | PLQ | 1,911 | 8.6 | — |
| François Therrien | PCQ | 1,219 | 5.5 | — |
| Anne-Marie Lauzon | Other | 82 | 0.4 | — |
| Jocelyn Rioux | Other | 57 | 0.3 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
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- Last model run
- Cycle
qc_2026