Riding profile
Bonaventure
The question
Bonaventure: will CAQ lose this seat to PQ?
Current forecast
PQ
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 30.6
- P(close race)
- 0%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| PQ | CAQ | QLP | PCQ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereBonaventure | 49.5% | 18.9% | 16.2% | 9.3% |
| Provincial averageQuebec | 27.9% +21.6 | 21.3% −2.4 | 23.4% −7.2 | 16.1% −6.8 |
Provincial averages computed across the 127 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Editorial read
Bonaventure, a rural riding in Quebec, elected a member with the CAQ in the previous cycle, with a 14-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the PQ ahead at 49% vote share, against 19% for the CAQ, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Catherine Blouin
Sits with CAQ
Who's running
The candidates
Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.
-
CAQ Incumbent 
Catherine Blouin
Communication advisor and project manager at the Integrated Health and Social Services Centre (CISSS) of Gaspésie, Catherine Blouin has lived in the Bonaventure riding for as long as she can remember. A hands-on and action-oriented woman, this young mother is motivated by the desire to contribute to the development of her region and achieve a better quality of life for its citizens.
source ↗ -
PCQ Challenger 
Dominique Côté
Dominique Côté graduated from the École nationale d’aérotechnique (ÉNA) in aircraft maintenance. Training in a field where rigour, safety and a commitment to quality work are essential enabled him to develop a methodical, pragmatic and results-oriented approach that he now wishes to put at the service of his community. Dominique wishes to represent Bonaventure residents with proximity, attentiveness and determination. He advocates concrete solutions to restore families’ purchasing power, facilitate access to homeownership, reduce administrative burdens and improve access to health care. He believes a more effective state and decisions adapted to citizens’ realities are essential to Quebec’s prosperity.
source ↗ - PQ Challenger
Pier-Luc Bujold
A trained nurse, Pier-Luc Bujold was president of the union of nurses, nursing assistants, and respiratory therapists of Eastern Quebec and vice-president of the Fédération de la santé du Québec. He is entering Quebec politics to defend his region's interests in a PQ government. An independentist from a young age, he believes Quebec has the resources to become a country and that greater decentralization would increase regional autonomy.
source ↗ -
QLP Challenger 
Christian Cyr
Born in New Richmond, Christian is a licensed real estate broker, corporate director, and economic development consultant. For over thirty years, he has worked in regional development, notably as a key contributor to the 2016–2018 Salmon Sport Fishing Development Plan and the 2001 and 2020 Chic-Chocs Development Plans. He also served as president of the Quebec Federation of Salmon River Managers and as vice president of the Quebec Federation for Atlantic Salmon. Our regions need representatives who understand their economies and know the people who keep them going. Christian will be a strong voice for Bonaventure and for the entire Gaspé Peninsula as part of our team.
source ↗ -
QS Challenger Yv Bonnier Viger
source ↗
Previous election · 2022
Detailed result · QC 2022
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Catherine Blouin Elected | CAQ | 9,919 | 44.5 | — |
| Alexis Deschênes | PQ | 6,708 | 30.1 | — |
| Catherine Cyr Wright | QS | 2,417 | 10.8 | — |
| Christian Cyr | QLP | 1,911 | 8.6 | — |
| François Therrien | PCQ | 1,219 | 5.5 | — |
| Anne-Marie Lauzon | Other | 82 | 0.4 | — |
| Jocelyn Rioux | Other | 57 | 0.3 | — |
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- Last model run
- Cycle
qc_2026