Riding profile

Chicoutimi

Provincial riding — QC · Rural · rest

The question

Chicoutimi: a safe seat for the PQ?

Editorial read

Chicoutimi, a rural riding in Quebec, elected a member with the CAQ in the previous cycle, with a 48-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the PQ ahead at 47% vote share, against 27% for the CAQ, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

Marie-Karlynn Laflamme

Sits with PQ

Since
2026-02-23
Parliament
43th

Current forecast

PQ

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
20.1
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • PQ 46.6%
  • CAQ 26.6%
  • PCQ 14.7%
  • PLQ 9.7%
  • QS 2.1%

In context

How this riding stacks up

PQ CAQ PCQ PLQ
HereChicoutimi 46.6%26.6%14.7%9.7%
Provincial averageQuebec 30.1% +16.6 20.3% +6.3 13.2% +1.5 27.2% −17.5

Provincial averages computed across the 127 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Previous election · QC 2022

Won by
CAQ
Margin
48.1 pts
Turnout
68.7%
Margin shift vs current projection
-28.0 pts

Detailed result · QC 2022

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Andrée Laforest Elected CAQ 19,345 62.3
Alice Villeneuve PQ 4,415 14.2
Adrien Guibert-Barthez QS 3,741 12.0
Éric Girard PCQ 2,619 8.4
Gabriel Caron PLQ 943 3.0
Last model run
Cycle
qc_2026