Riding profile

Ipswich

UK constituency — England · Urban · east of england

The question

Ipswich: who wins this toss-up?

Editorial read

Ipswich, an urban constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 17-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Reform UK ahead at 28% vote share, against 28% for Reform UK, and the race could swing.

Sitting member

Jack Abbott

Sits with Labour

Since
2024-07-04
Parliament
59th

Current forecast

Reform UK

Toss-up

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
1.3
P(close race)
100%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Labour 27.8%
  • Reform UK 27.7%
  • Conservative 22.4%
  • Green 13.5%
  • Lib Dems 5.9%
  • Other 2.4%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Labour Reform UK Conservative Green
HereIpswich 27.8%27.7%22.4%13.5%
National averageUnited Kingdom 21.7% +6.2 25.3% +2.3 18.9% +3.5 11.8% +1.7

Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Previous election · UK 2024

Won by
Labour
Margin
16.8 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
-15.5 pts

Detailed result · UK 2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Jack Abbott Elected Labour 19,099 43.3
Thomas Hunt Conservative 11,696 26.5
Tony Love Reform UK 7,027 15.9
Adria Pittock Green 3,652 8.3
James Sandbach Lib Dems 2,241 5.1
Freddie Sofar Other 205 0.5
Terence Charles Other 151 0.3

Demographics

Who lives here

Population
114,348
Median age
38
Employment rate
74.8%

Data source : ONS mid-2022 population + Jan 2026 labour market

Last model run
Cycle
uk_2029