Riding profile
Colchester
The question
Colchester: who wins this toss-up?
Editorial read
Colchester, an urban constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 18-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Labour ahead at 28% vote share, against 26% for Reform UK, and the race could swing.
Sitting member
Pam Cox
Sits with Labour
Current forecast
Labour
Toss-up
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 1.0
- P(close race)
- 100%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Labour | Reform UK | Conservative | Lib Dems | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereColchester | 28.3% | 25.9% | 19.8% | 14.0% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 21.7% +6.6 | 25.3% +0.6 | 18.9% +0.9 | 11.6% +2.4 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · UK 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pam Cox Elected | Labour | 18,804 | 41.9 | — |
| James Cracknell | Conservative | 10,554 | 23.5 | — |
| Terence Longstaff | Reform UK | 6,664 | 14.8 | — |
| Martin Goss | Lib Dems | 6,393 | 14.2 | — |
| Sara Ruth | Green | 2,414 | 5.4 | — |
| James Rolfe | Other | 74 | 0.2 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029