Riding profile
Witham
The question
Witham: who wins this toss-up?
Editorial read
Witham, a mixed constituency in England, elected a member with the Conservatives in the previous cycle, with a 10-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Conservatives ahead at 31% vote share, against 31% for Reform UK, and the race could swing.
Sitting member
Priti Patel
Sits with Conservative
Current forecast
Conservative
Toss-up
- Probability
- 57%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 0.2
- P(close race)
- 100%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Conservative | Reform UK | Labour | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereWitham | 30.9% | 30.9% | 15.5% | 11.5% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 18.9% +12.0 | 25.3% +5.5 | 21.7% −6.2 | 11.8% −0.3 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · UK 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Priti Patel Elected | Conservative | 18,827 | 37.2 | — |
| Rumi Chowdhury | Labour | 13,682 | 27.0 | — |
| Timothy Blaxill | Reform UK | 9,870 | 19.5 | — |
| James Abbott | Green | 3,539 | 7.0 | — |
| Ashley Thompson | Lib Dems | 3,439 | 6.8 | — |
| Chelsey Jay | Other | 1,246 | 2.5 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029