Inverness, Skye and West Ross-shire
Westminster constituency · Scotland
Forecast of November 2, 2026
Our forecast gives the SNP a 76% chance of winning, with an average lead of 1.2 points.
Competitive. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 100%.
Compared with the average
| SNP | Lib Dems | Reform UK | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inverness, Skye and West Ross-shire | 34.1% | 33.2% | 15.3% | 7.5% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 2.8%+31.3 | 9.9%+23.3 | 22.3%−7.0 | 9.7%−2.2 |
Simple average of the 650 ridings, not weighted by population.
Local profile
| Employment rate | 69.6% |
|---|
Current member
Mr Angus MacDonald · Lib Dems
Previous election (2024)
The Lib Dems won by 4.5 points.
Our current projection: the SNP ahead by 1.2 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Angus MacDonald Elected | Lib Dems | 18,159 | 37.8 |
| Drew Hendry | SNP | 15,999 | 33.3 |
| Michael Perera | Labour | 6,246 | 13.0 |
| Dillan Hill | Reform UK | 2,934 | 6.1 |
| Ruraidh Stewart | Conservative | 2,502 | 5.2 |
| Peter Newman | Green | 2,038 | 4.2 |
| Darren Paxton | Other | 178 | 0.4 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Inverclyde and Renfrewshire West SNP, competitive
- West Dunbartonshire SNP, competitive
- Paisley and Renfrewshire South SNP, toss-up
- Paisley and Renfrewshire North SNP, competitive
- Glasgow West SNP, toss-up
- Mid Dunbartonshire Lib Dems, safe seat
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated