Riding profile
Glasgow West
The question
Glasgow West: who wins this toss-up?
Editorial read
Glasgow West, a mixed constituency in Scotland, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 16-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the SNP ahead at 29% vote share, against 28% for Labour, and the race could swing.
Sitting member
Patricia Ferguson
Sits with Labour
Current forecast
SNP
Toss-up
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 2.9
- P(close race)
- 100%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| SNP | Labour | Reform UK | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereGlasgow West | 28.9% | 28.1% | 16.9% | 9.7% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 2.5% +26.4 | 21.7% +6.4 | 25.3% −8.4 | 11.8% −2.1 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · UK 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patricia Ferguson Elected | Labour | 18,621 | 46.7 | — |
| Carol Monaghan | SNP | 12,175 | 30.5 | — |
| Nick Quail | Green | 3,662 | 9.2 | — |
| Dionne Moore | Reform UK | 2,098 | 5.3 | — |
| Faten Hameed | Conservative | 1,720 | 4.3 | — |
| James Calder | Lib Dems | 1,316 | 3.3 | — |
| John Cormack | Other | 310 | 0.8 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029