Riding profile
Glasgow South West
The question
Glasgow South West: will Labour lose this seat to SNP?
Current forecast
SNP
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 14.4
- P(close race)
- 0%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| SNP | Labour | Reform UK | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereGlasgow South West | 38.4% | 24.0% | 14.2% | 11.5% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 2.8% +35.6 | 21.8% +2.2 | 25.4% −11.1 | 10.8% +0.7 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Editorial read
Glasgow South West, a mixed constituency in Scotland, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 9-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the SNP ahead at 38% vote share, against 24% for Labour, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Dr Zubir Ahmed
Sits with Labour
Previous election · 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zubir Ahmed Elected | Labour | 15,552 | 43.6 | — |
| Chris Stephens | SNP | 12,267 | 34.4 | — |
| John Hamelink | Green | 2,727 | 7.7 | — |
| Morag McRae | Reform UK | 2,236 | 6.3 | — |
| Mamun Rashid | Conservative | 1,387 | 3.9 | — |
| Paul McGarry | Lib Dems | 958 | 2.7 | — |
| Tony Osy | Other | 542 | 1.5 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029