Riding profile
Glasgow South West
The question
Glasgow South West: will Labour lose this seat to SNP?
Editorial read
Glasgow South West, a mixed constituency in Scotland, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 9-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the SNP ahead at 31% vote share, against 26% for Labour, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Dr Zubir Ahmed
Sits with Labour
Current forecast
SNP
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 6.9
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| SNP | Labour | Reform UK | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereGlasgow South West | 31.2% | 26.2% | 18.0% | 10.3% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 2.5% +28.6 | 21.7% +4.6 | 25.3% −7.3 | 11.8% −1.5 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · UK 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zubir Ahmed Elected | Labour | 15,552 | 43.6 | — |
| Chris Stephens | SNP | 12,267 | 34.4 | — |
| John Hamelink | Green | 2,727 | 7.7 | — |
| Morag McRae | Reform UK | 2,236 | 6.3 | — |
| Mamun Rashid | Conservative | 1,387 | 3.9 | — |
| Paul McGarry | Lib Dems | 958 | 2.7 | — |
| Tony Osy | Other | 542 | 1.5 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029