Riding profile
Glasgow North
The question
Glasgow North: will Labour lose this seat to SNP?
Current forecast
SNP
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 9.0
- P(close race)
- 0%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| SNP | Labour | Green | Reform UK | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereGlasgow North | 35.2% | 26.2% | 13.8% | 12.6% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 2.8% +32.4 | 21.8% +4.4 | 10.8% +3.0 | 25.4% −12.8 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Editorial read
Glasgow North, a mixed constituency in Scotland, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 10-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the SNP ahead at 35% vote share, against 26% for Labour, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Martin Rhodes
Sits with Labour
Previous election · 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martin Rhodes Elected | Labour | 14,655 | 42.2 | — |
| Alison Thewliss | SNP | 11,116 | 32.0 | — |
| Iris Duane | Green | 4,233 | 12.2 | — |
| Helen Burns | Reform UK | 1,655 | 4.8 | — |
| Naveed Asghar | Conservative | 1,366 | 3.9 | — |
| Daniel O'Malley | Lib Dems | 1,142 | 3.3 | — |
| Nick Durie | Other | 572 | 1.6 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029