Riding profile

Glasgow North East

UK constituency — Scotland · Mixed · scotland

The question

Glasgow North East: who wins this toss-up?

Editorial read

Glasgow North East, a mixed constituency in Scotland, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 14-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the SNP ahead at 31% vote share, against 29% for the SNP, and the race could swing.

Sitting member

Maureen Burke

Sits with Labour

Since
2024-07-04
Parliament
59th

Current forecast

SNP

Toss-up

Probability
93%
Mean margin (pts)
0.8
P(close race)
100%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Labour 30.7%
  • SNP 29.4%
  • Reform UK 15.3%
  • Green 10.0%
  • Other 5.8%
  • Conservative 4.4%
  • Lib Dems 4.2%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Labour SNP Reform UK Green
HereGlasgow North East 30.7%29.4%15.3%10.0%
National averageUnited Kingdom 21.7% +9.0 2.5% +26.9 25.3% −10.0 11.8% −1.8

Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Previous election · UK 2024

Won by
Labour
Margin
13.6 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
-12.8 pts

Detailed result · UK 2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Maureen Burke Elected Labour 15,639 45.9
Anne McLaughlin SNP 11,002 32.3
Ewan Lewis Green 2,471 7.3
Jonathan Walmsley Reform UK 2,272 6.7
Robert Connelly Conservative 1,182 3.5
Sheila Thomson Lib Dems 592 1.7
Catherine McKernan Other 551 1.6
Chris Sermanni Other 236 0.7
Gary Steele Other 146 0.4

Demographics

Who lives here

Employment rate
68.8%

Data source : ONS mid-2022 population + Jan 2026 labour market

Last model run
Cycle
uk_2029