Riding profile
Coatbridge and Bellshill
The question
Coatbridge and Bellshill: will Labour lose this seat to SNP?
Current forecast
SNP
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 14.3
- P(close race)
- 0%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| SNP | Labour | Reform UK | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereCoatbridge and Bellshill | 37.6% | 23.4% | 21.3% | 7.6% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 2.8% +34.9 | 21.8% +1.5 | 25.4% −4.1 | 10.8% −3.2 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Editorial read
Coatbridge and Bellshill, a mixed constituency in Scotland, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 16-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the SNP ahead at 38% vote share, against 23% for Labour, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Frank McNally
Sits with Labour
Previous election · 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frank McNally Elected | Labour | 19,291 | 49.8 | — |
| Steven Bonnar | SNP | 12,947 | 33.4 | — |
| Fiona McRae | Reform UK | 2,601 | 6.7 | — |
| Christina Sandhu | Conservative | 1,382 | 3.6 | — |
| Patrick McAleer | Green | 1,229 | 3.2 | — |
| Emma Farthing | Lib Dems | 671 | 1.7 | — |
| Leo Lanahan | Other | 429 | 1.1 | — |
| Drew Gilchrist | Other | 181 | 0.5 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029