Coatbridge and Bellshill
Westminster constituency · Scotland
Forecast of November 2, 2026
Our forecast gives the SNP a 98% chance of winning, with an average lead of 5.4 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 45%.
Compared with the average
| SNP | Labour | Reform UK | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coatbridge and Bellshill | 35.0% | 29.7% | 18.1% | 7.3% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 2.8%+32.2 | 26.5%+3.2 | 22.3%−4.1 | 9.7%−2.4 |
Simple average of the 650 ridings, not weighted by population.
Local profile
| Employment rate | 80.7% |
|---|
Current member
Frank McNally · Labour
Previous election (2024)
Labour won by 16.4 points.
Our current projection: the SNP ahead by 5.4 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Frank McNally Elected | Labour | 19,291 | 49.8 |
| Steven Bonnar | SNP | 12,947 | 33.4 |
| Fiona McRae | Reform UK | 2,601 | 6.7 |
| Christina Sandhu | Conservative | 1,382 | 3.6 |
| Patrick McAleer | Green | 1,229 | 3.2 |
| Emma Farthing | Lib Dems | 671 | 1.7 |
| Leo Lanahan | Other | 429 | 1.1 |
| Drew Gilchrist | Other | 181 | 0.5 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Cumbernauld and Kirkintilloch SNP, safe seat
- Glasgow North East SNP, toss-up
- Rutherglen SNP, toss-up
- Airdrie and Shotts SNP, toss-up
- East Kilbride and Strathaven Labour, toss-up
- Glasgow East SNP, safe seat
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated