Riding profile
East Kilbride and Strathaven
The question
East Kilbride and Strathaven: will Independent lose this seat to SNP?
Editorial read
East Kilbride and Strathaven, a mixed constituency in Scotland, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 19-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the SNP ahead at 28% vote share, against 25% for Labour, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Joani Reid
Sits with Independent
Current forecast
SNP
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 5.9
- P(close race)
- 6%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| SNP | Labour | Reform UK | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereEast Kilbride and Strathaven | 28.4% | 24.7% | 22.6% | 7.8% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 2.5% +25.9 | 21.7% +3.0 | 25.3% −2.7 | 11.8% −4.1 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · UK 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joani Reid Elected | Labour | 22,682 | 48.6 | — |
| Grant Costello | SNP | 13,625 | 29.2 | — |
| Ross Lambie | Conservative | 3,547 | 7.6 | — |
| David Mills | Reform UK | 3,377 | 7.2 | — |
| Ann McGuinness | Green | 1,811 | 3.9 | — |
| Aisha Mir | Lib Dems | 1,074 | 2.3 | — |
| David Richardson | Other | 505 | 1.1 | — |
| Donald MacKay | Other | 86 | 0.2 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
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- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029