Riding profile
Hamilton and Clyde Valley
The question
Hamilton and Clyde Valley: who wins this toss-up?
Editorial read
Hamilton and Clyde Valley, a mixed constituency in Scotland, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 23-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the SNP ahead at 26% vote share, against 26% for the SNP, and the race could swing.
Sitting member
Imogen Walker
Sits with Labour
Current forecast
SNP
Toss-up
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 2.0
- P(close race)
- 100%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Labour | SNP | Reform UK | Conservative | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereHamilton and Clyde Valley | 26.2% | 26.0% | 23.3% | 9.9% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 21.7% +4.5 | 2.5% +23.5 | 25.3% −2.1 | 18.9% −9.0 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · UK 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Imogen Walker Elected | Labour | 21,020 | 50.0 | — |
| Ross Clark | SNP | 11,548 | 27.4 | — |
| Richard Nelson | Conservative | 4,589 | 10.9 | — |
| Lisa Judge | Reform UK | 3,299 | 7.8 | — |
| Kyle Burns | Lib Dems | 1,511 | 3.6 | — |
| Christopher Ho | Other | 117 | 0.3 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029