Riding profile
Hamilton and Clyde Valley
The question
Hamilton and Clyde Valley: will Labour lose this seat to SNP?
Current forecast
SNP
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 9.8
- P(close race)
- 0%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| SNP | Reform UK | Labour | Conservative | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereHamilton and Clyde Valley | 32.3% | 22.4% | 22.3% | 9.9% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 2.8% +29.6 | 25.4% −2.9 | 21.8% +0.5 | 19.3% −9.4 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Editorial read
Hamilton and Clyde Valley, a mixed constituency in Scotland, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 23-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the SNP ahead at 32% vote share, against 22% for Reform UK, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Imogen Walker
Sits with Labour
Previous election · 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Imogen Walker Elected | Labour | 21,020 | 50.0 | — |
| Ross Clark | SNP | 11,548 | 27.4 | — |
| Richard Nelson | Conservative | 4,589 | 10.9 | — |
| Lisa Judge | Reform UK | 3,299 | 7.8 | — |
| Kyle Burns | Lib Dems | 1,511 | 3.6 | — |
| Christopher Ho | Other | 117 | 0.3 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029