Riding profile

Glasgow East

UK constituency — Scotland · Mixed · scotland

The question

Glasgow East: who wins this toss-up?

Editorial read

Glasgow East, a mixed constituency in Scotland, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 11-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the SNP ahead at 30% vote share, against 27% for Labour, and the race could swing.

Sitting member

John Grady

Sits with Labour

Since
2024-07-04
Parliament
59th

Current forecast

SNP

Toss-up

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
4.7
P(close race)
69%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • SNP 30.0%
  • Labour 27.2%
  • Reform UK 17.5%
  • Green 10.4%
  • Other 5.1%
  • Conservative 5.1%
  • Lib Dems 4.5%

In context

How this riding stacks up

SNP Labour Reform UK Green
HereGlasgow East 30.0%27.2%17.5%10.4%
National averageUnited Kingdom 2.5% +27.5 21.7% +5.6 25.3% −7.8 11.8% −1.4

Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Previous election · UK 2024

Won by
Labour
Margin
10.7 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
-5.9 pts

Detailed result · UK 2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
John Grady Elected Labour 15,543 43.9
David Linden SNP 11,759 33.2
Amy Kettyles Green 2,727 7.7
Donnie McLeod Reform UK 2,371 6.7
Thomas Kerr Conservative 1,707 4.8
Matthew Clark Lib Dems 872 2.5
Liam McLaughlan Other 466 1.3

Demographics

Who lives here

Employment rate
63.5%

Data source : ONS mid-2022 population + Jan 2026 labour market

Last model run
Cycle
uk_2029