Riding profile
Glasgow South
The question
Glasgow South: will Labour lose this seat to SNP?
Current forecast
SNP
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 15.8
- P(close race)
- 0%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| SNP | Labour | Green | Reform UK | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereGlasgow South | 34.9% | 19.2% | 17.2% | 12.9% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 2.8% +32.2 | 21.8% −2.7 | 10.8% +6.4 | 25.4% −12.4 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Editorial read
Glasgow South, a mixed constituency in Scotland, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 10-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the SNP ahead at 35% vote share, against 19% for Labour, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Gordon McKee
Sits with Labour
Previous election · 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gordon McKee Elected | Labour | 17,696 | 41.8 | — |
| Stewart McDonald | SNP | 13,542 | 32.0 | — |
| Niall Christie | Green | 5,554 | 13.1 | — |
| Danny Raja | Reform UK | 1,736 | 4.1 | — |
| Haroun Malik | Conservative | 1,617 | 3.8 | — |
| Peter McLaughlin | Lib Dems | 1,316 | 3.1 | — |
| Brian Smith | Other | 473 | 1.1 | — |
| Dhruva Kumar | Other | 444 | 1.1 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029